At night from Wednesday to Thursday at Washington came to air disasterWhere military helicopter Black Hawk collided with a passenger plane Bombardier CRJ 700 linii American Airlines. The number of victims is growing, and with it there are questions as possible in the heart United States did this tragedy happen? And does the plane still remain the safest means of transport?
– all international and national statistics regarding accident accidentality indicate that The plane is the safest means of transport – emphasizes in an interview with Interia Grzegorz BrychczyÅ„ski, air expert. As he explains, Aviation accidents occur most often at airports, at starting and approach to landing.
Dangerous airports. “The plane suddenly gets in the tail”
Passengers of fear are also driven by the so -called “turbulence of the cloudless sky“Specialists define situations when the plane, due to the sudden air movement and climate change, Suddenly he falls into strong turbulencealthough there are no warnings on the radar about weather changes.
The danger also increases at airports located in the coastal lanes of the seas and oceans. The aviation expert indicates two such dangerous places in the world: W Europe na Gibraltar and in Africa in Hurgady. – Threatening situations also occur at other airports, where we have a sea breeze tossing and there may be wind faults. The aircraft can land properly, according to the commands, a Suddenly “he gets in the tail”, this is a colloquial term for the current (air – ed.)which either lifts him up or pounds it on the ground – says BrychczyÅ„ski.
– Today we already have radars that can detect wind faults, but you have to remember that this is still an element and have respect for it – says an aviation expert.
Test of air accidents and disasters
Research based on an accident triad is conducted over each event, accident and air disaster. This means that Three factors are considered: man, machine, weather.
Weather. Experts take into account the changes in the wind, pressure changes, turbulence, and imprecise determination of weather conditions. – This is related to the human factor, e.g. a pilot, it is not known why, he packs in a storm front, which should bypass – explains BrychczyÅ„ski.
Machine. The basis for assessing the situation are the provisions of so -called black boxes and other recorders, conversations between pilots.
The first two elements lead straight to the third, which is: human factor. – These may be misunderstandings in the crew, inability to make the decisions, the wrong assessment of the situation. There are procedures for everything, but they are not stone boards, you have to approach every issue with reason. This also applies to the use of artificial intelligence by the crew, automatic pilot, GPS – explains the specialist.
– statistically The weakest link in this triad is man, Which is usually the most difficult to examine – he adds.
It is easier to win in Lotto than to die in the accident
Despite the tragic news and images from the vicinity of the Washington airport Ronald Rekana, The numbers are unambiguous – flying is safe. The data of the International Association of Air Carriers (IATA) shows that in 2023 30 accidents were recorded, 72 people were killed (all in one disaster). A aviation accident happened once in over 1.26 million flights, and the risk of death during the flight was the plane 0,03 proc.
This means that It is much easier to hit the “six” in Lotto than to die in the accident.
In 2022, there were 158 victims, and accidents 42. The risk of mortality was 0.11, and one accident was at 1.3 million safe flights. The data look similar in the case of the average of the last five -ported years.
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Was 2024 really so bad?
Report here Za Rok 2024 It has not yet been published. However, it can already be said that The data will not be as good as in previous years. 2024 is sometimes referred to as black year for air transport. Only in December two disasters occurred, in which life has lost over 200 people. According to media summaries, over 300 passengers and crew members were killed.
Grzegorz Brychczyński, however, emphasizes that The year 2024 is still falling as safeas indicated by the International Civil Aviation Organization, and the statistics of the victims were raised by two December events.
The first of December 25when Azerbaijan Airlines aircraft, flying to Chechnya in South Russiacrashed in the west Kazakhstan. 38 people were killed. The analyzes have shown that the aircraft was damaged by a Russian anti -aircraft defense missile – at the same time the raid of Ukrainian drones to the city of Ukrainian. President Azerbaijan he simply accused Russia for shooting down the aircraft.