The space rock is approaching the ground: Asteroid 2024 YR4 has been discovered December 27 2024 with help telescope Asteroid Terrestrial-Impact Last Alert System (Atlas) in Río Hurtado in Chile. Automated warning systems estimated that the object has very little chance for a potential impact on the earth December 22, 2032. The diameter of the asteroid is estimated at 40-100 meters. Tony Dunn, the amateur astronomer, posted a simulation of the asteroid approach to our planet on the X. platform.
What is the threat? The European Space Agency (ESA) states that the asteroids of this size hit the ground on average every few thousand. years and can cause serious damage in a small area. On January 29, she assessed that the chances of impact would be 1.2 percent. Asteroid 2024 YR4 was rated at the level 3 on a 10-speed scale of danger shock Torino. ESA calms down However, in such situations initially the likelihood of asteroid hitting usually increases, but then quickly falls to zero after additional analyzes.
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Sources: European Space Agency, Tony dunn on x