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Tuesday, June 18, 2024

Common Opposition List. Good or bad idea? Materska-Sosnowska comments

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It would be worth telling voters what the opposition’s electoral tactics will be – said political scientist Dr. Anna Materska Sosnowska in TVN24’s “You Get Up and You Know”. She pointed out that the common opposition list has its pluses and minuses. – If party leaders came out today and said: there is such and such a game plan, I am convinced that with all the machinery discouraging it through Law and Justice, it could work – she assessed.

“Gazeta Wyborcza” published on Monday “citizens poll” results financed by the Long Table Forum Foundation and conducted by Kantar. It shows that in recent months support for the Civic Coalition, Poland 2050, Polish People’s Party and the Left has weakened to such an extent that the only variant in which the opposition could win the parliamentary elections and have a majority in the Sejm is starting from a joint list.

“The D’Hondt method rules and deals the cards”

– This poll shows a certain trend. There were presented various variants of how the parties would start and how they could start, and depending on this, the election results were estimated. One thing is definitely beyond dispute. For several terms, the opposition has more votes and fewer seats. Here, the Victor D’Hondt method rules and deals these cards – commented on Tuesday morning on TVN24 political scientist Dr. Anna Materska-Sosnowska from the University of Warsaw.

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The D’Hondt method is a way of dividing seats in the Sejm electoral law, favoring larger parties and blocs.

– This is a certain lesson that comes from the United Right: no matter how they argue, one thing remains common – we start together, because then we have a bonus – noted the expert.

She pointed out that “on the one hand, we know what the benefits of a joint (opposition) list could be, but at the same time we see that there are opponents”. She pointed out that the aforementioned study also indicated how many voters could leave if the opposition ran in the elections as one bloc.

– It is up to politicians, but also to us, the media, and civil society to engage in the electoral process, that is, to raise all those who can go and vote – said Materska-Sosnowska. – Research shows that PiS’s reservoir is already limited and closed, while on the side of the opposition there is the possibility of raising even more voters – she added.

Materska-Sosnowska: Opposition leaders should come out and present a game plan

The political scientist said on TVN24 that “we see a certain outflow of voters who could actually vote for the opposition from autumn.” “Therefore, the voter feels anxious about what’s going on, what it’s going to look like, whether there’s a chance of winning or not,” she noted.

– If party leaders came out today and said: there is such and such a game plan, we do this and that, then I am convinced that with all the machinery discouraging it through Law and Justiceit could work – she assessed, referring to the joint list of the opposition.

In her opinion, the first slogan on the lips of the opposition should be “removing PiS from power, because it threatens democracy, the rule of law, we are threatened in the European Union.” – But then we expect from politicians the main slogans, why they go to elections and how they want to govern. If they argue so much at the moment, whether there will be a joint list or not, they will start insulting one leader with another, they will not sit at any table, she said. She added that opposition leaders should focus on “defining common steps, common values, or common basic program elements that will be implemented when they take power.”

– It would be worth telling voters what the opposition’s electoral tactics will be – she added.

Main photo source: TVN24



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