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COVID-19 journey listing: Caribbean hotspots amongst nations liable to being added to pink listing | UK Information

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Jamaica, Grenada and Nigeria are among the many nations that may very well be moved to the pink listing right now, in accordance to a knowledge professional.

The federal government is ready to replace its COVID-19 travel list as a part of a assessment that occurs each three weeks.

International locations and territories are listed as red, amber or green – with completely different guidelines for every of the three lists.

Sky Information has spoken to knowledge professional Tim White to search out out which nations may very well be affected.

Which nations are at risk of being added to the pink listing this week?

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Jamaica and Grenada, that are common locations for vacationers within the Caribbean, may very well be added to the pink listing, in response to Mr White.

Jamaica stayed amber within the earlier assessment, however inside hours the Overseas Workplace issued steerage saying it “advises in opposition to all however important journey to the entire of Jamaica primarily based on the present evaluation of COVID-19 dangers”.

In the previous few days, there was a giant spike within the variety of folks arriving from Jamaica with COVID-19.

Mr White mentioned the transport secretary “would successfully be admitting a mistake three weeks in the past” if he put Jamaica on the pink listing – and won’t achieve this for that motive.

Grenada may develop into the primary nation to go straight from inexperienced to pink due to an “astonishing” unfold of COVID-19 on the small Carribean island, he mentioned.

About 1,000 folks per 100,000 are testing Positive for COVID-19 every week, which Mr White mentioned is “nicely into the hazard zone”.

He thinks a number of different small islands within the Americas may very well be added to the pink listing, however the one issues in Europe this time are within the Balkans.

Albania had one of many highest charges of contaminated arrivals in the newest NHS outcomes, however charges there appear low sufficient to maintain it amber,” he mentioned.

“Serbia has the strongest sustained COVID-19 development in Europe proper now, however ranges are nonetheless beneath Montenegro after I warned it could go pink three weeks in the past.”

“Serbia’s vaccination charge can be higher, so I believe it avoids pink too.

Kosovo ought to already be pink, however its destiny may very well be linked with Serbia and appears set to outlive once more.”

Additional afield, Iran and Iraq could but once more keep amber – although Mr White believes the actual fact they’ve remained so is a “thriller”.

In Africa, the info suggests Nigeria may very well be weak, he mentioned.

He mentioned St Lucia is in danger as a result of an infection charges elevated after the final journey assessment – however they’re now declining and the case numbers are low total, main him to suspect that the nation might be spared.

Which nations may very well be taken off the pink listing?

The Maldives are most certainly to be taken off the pink listing and moved to amber, in response to Mr White.

“It’s insanity that the favored archipelago was not faraway from pink three weeks in the past,” he mentioned.

He mentioned case numbers there are low, with virtually all of them on Male, the principle island which isn’t common with vacationers.

Mr White mentioned the “excuse” given for the nation staying pink was that it didn’t submit genomic sequencing knowledge, which is used to determine variants – nevertheless it has now accomplished so and is among the many prime 32 reporting nations.

“There aren’t any extra excuses: sense should prevail,” he mentioned.

The info professional mentioned the Dominican Republic ought to be eliminated however might not be as a result of it doesn’t perform genomic sequencing.

“In my view it is nonsense,” he mentioned.

“The chance of a mutant creating in such a small variety of {cases} within the Dominican Republic is extremely small, and far much less possible than in Russia, and even India, big nations on amber with areas of very excessive an infection, however the place over the entire nation charges look acceptable.”

Individuals hoping for Pakistan and Turkey to be faraway from the pink listing could also be disenchanted.

“Neither has conclusive knowledge for me to say they need to be eliminated,” Mr White mentioned.

He mentioned Pakistan has “dangerous” take a look at and hint figures, with 3.2% of all arriving passengers testing Positive for COVID-19.

Despite the fact that {cases} are lowering, the proportion of COVID-19 assessments that are Positive in Pakistan is a bit of increased than 5%, which Mr White sees as a benchmark.

Pakistan shouldn’t be doing sufficient genomic sequencing, Mr White mentioned, which can additionally pose an issue.

Are any of the principle vacation locations below risk on this week’s journey assessment?

Mr White mentioned not one of the huge European vacation locations are in any hazard within the upcoming assessment.

“Within the final three weeks an infection charges have been coming down in virtually all the most important vacation hotspots like France, Spain, Greece, Italy, Cyprus and Portugal,” he mentioned.

He mentioned the one nation common with UK vacationers to see an increase has been Croatia attributable to a “hotspot” of {cases} heading north and east throughout the continent.

“In the event you’re planning to go to Dubrovnik, Cut up, Zadar or any of the opposite Croatian delights, do not worry,” he mentioned.

“The seven-day an infection charge is nowhere close to worrying ranges, certainly presently being a bit of decrease than Austria which was added to the inexperienced listing solely final month.”

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