Fuel prices. “They should remain at a lower level until the end of the holidays”

Next week for Unleaded gasoline 95 Drivers should refuel on average PLN 6.11-6.22 per liter, while for diesel Car owners with a diesel engine will pay 6.24-6.36 PLN/l – according to the latest analysis fuel prices e-petrol.pl.

“The refueling can also count on a corrective reduction autogas – Next week, on average, PLN 3.19-3.27 will pay per liter of this fuel, “added analysts.

“The last week was marked by a small price correction. For a liter of gasoline, it was necessary to pay on average PLN 6.19 in the country, and the same amount of diesel cost PLN 6.35/l” – they reminded. As they assessed, there are opportunities for further, but “slight” decreases in fuel prices, but in their opinion a lot will depend on oil ratings on international stock exchanges and the American dollar exchange rate for PLN.

“In recent days, the frequency of introducing price changes by producers and their scale at times was surprising. In the first half of the week the fuel was expensive, and in the middle of the week there was a violent discount, which was visible especially in the case of diesel oil,” the analysts noted. They added that as a result on Friday, in a weekly terms, one can only speak of a corrective change in “fuel prices in refineries.

E-Petrol.pl forecasts for the coming days show that wholesale fuel prices at the beginning of next week should not change dynamically, which, according to analysts, may result in a correction of prices down at gas stations.

According to e-petrol.pl data, the average price of unleaded gasoline 95 for Polish producers in Płock and Gdańsk is on Friday PLN 4,782.80 net for 1000 liters-it is PLN 18 more than a week ago. On the other hand, diesel oil has been cautious about PLN 16.60 over the week, currently in bulk fuel costs PLN 4,917.80/1000 l.

“The change in prices we witnessed meant that currently in wholesale fuel sales, these fuel divides a distance of PLN 135, while in mid -January the difference was over PLN 300” – the analysts pointed out.

“On the oil market there is a advantage of sellers and we are observing a continuation of the discount, which has been going on from mid -January. In the past week, raw material raw materials on the London stock exchange deepened this year's minima and on Thursday, the Brent oil barrel could be bought for $ 74.10 for the barrel” – – Analysts found, indicating that on Friday morning some of these losses were made up and the price of the raw material is approaching $ 75.

They indicated that the activities of the new American administration are still in the center of investors' attention on the oil market. “Trade policy based on duties raises concerns about the global economic slowdown, which can negatively affect the demand for fuel, and this translates into inheritance pressure on raw material,” analysts said.

In their opinion, the image of the rule that emerges in the first days of the presidency Donald Trumphowever, it does not only provide arguments for a decrease in oil prices. “The new American administration is also implemented by announcements of maximum pressure on the authorities in Tehran, trying to re -limit the supply of Iranian oil to global markets,” said analysts.

Analysts reminded that this week new sanctions were announced at companies providing the services of marine transport of raw material from this direction to China. “The effectiveness of such activities that help in the weekend in making up for losses on the oil market will be a solid support for higher raw material prices,” they concluded.

The American Ministry Iranwhich in this way avoided restrictions on the export of crude oil, including to China. Its value is estimated at “hundreds of millions of dollars”. The document recalled transport from December last year. Two million barrels of Iranian oil to the PRC.

Among the sanctions of companies and persons are entities from the PRC, IndiaUnited Arab Emirates, as well as ships floating under the flags of Komorów, Panama, Seychelles, Hong Kong and Cameroon. Some of these units have already been restricted due to belonging to the Russian “shadow fleet”.

Read also: The US imposed sanctions on the transport of Iranian oil to China >>>

In the first week of February, fuel prices at stations are at lower levels compared to price levels from the end of January this year. – Reflex analysts noticed on Friday. “Average fuel prices at stations have fallen by 3 gr/li are, respectively, for: unleaded gasoline 95 – 6.19 PLN/l, unleaded 98 – 6.93 PLN/l, diesel oil – 6.34 PLN/LI autogas – 3, 3, 25 PLN/l ” – they informed. They added that the changes reflect the situation on the domestic wholesale market, as retail prices are changing with delay in relation to changes on the wholesale market.

Analysts pointed out that this week again the dynamics of changes on the wholesale market was “clearly” higher, which results from the situation on the oil market and the currency market. “However, it turns out that today (on Friday – PAP) wholesale prices of unleaded gasoline 95 are 18 PLN/1000 l higher than last Friday, while diesel oil lower by PLN 17/1000 l” – they noted. They also assessed that while it would be difficult to stabilize prices on the wholesale market, in the case of gas stations in their opinion there is a real chance for a further decline in fuel prices.

“At this point, fuel prices, except for autogas, still remain lower than a year ago and should remain at a lower level until the end of the winter holidays,” they emphasized.

Prices of the April series of Brent oil contracts dropped below $ 75. for a barrel. On a weekly scale, Brent's oil got cheaper about $ 0.70. on Baryłka and this is the third in a row of a price drop. “The market is about $ 7 on Baryłka below this year's Maksimów,” Reflex experts said.

They reminded that the US President suspended the introduction of 10 percent. and 25 percent duties on crude oil, respectively with Canada and Mexico. “The US, however, restore the policy of 'maximum pressure' to Iran, which aims to limit the exports of Iranian oil to zero,” said analysts.

“The export of Iranian oil began to fall at the end of last year, as a result of the US tightening in October 2024 sanctions imposed on the Iranian oil sector in response to Iran's rocket attacks on Israel,” they reminded. They added that the President of Iran calls OPEC to a joint response and response to the actions of the US authorities in relation to his country. They pointed out that in his opinion such joint coordinated effects of the entire cartel would help Iran avoid sanctions. Analysts pointed out that Iran is a member of the OPEC+agreement, but is not covered by mining limits. As a result, since October 2022, when OPEC+, mining limited, Iran managed to increase production by nearly 1 million barrels a day from 2.5 million barrels a day in October 2024 to about 3.4 million barrels a day in December 2024 .

“On February 3 this year, the joint ministerial monitoring committee OPEC+ (JMMC) decided to maintain (as planned) by April cuts of production of 5.8 million barrels a day, including 2.2 million barrels a day voluntary, which may be systematically reduced just From April, depending on the assessment of the market situation, “said analysts. They added that the next JMMC meeting is scheduled for April 5 this year.