Heatwave warnings are rolling out everywhere. Could a prolonged, extreme weather event take a deadly toll on our continent, comparable to that of 19 years ago, when tens of thousands of Europeans died from the heat? – This heat wave in southern Europe, these high temperatures, will persist for a long time, at least until the end of July – Dr. Michał Marosz from IMGW-PIB predicted in an interview with tvnmeteo.pl.
The heatwave that hit Europe in August 2003 was unprecedented. According to studies by French and Swiss scientists, the death toll then exceeded 70,000. Could the coming heatwave be as dangerous as the one from 19 years ago?
– High temperature indeed in southern Europe will last longer. It is not known whether the situation will be like in 2003, when tens of thousands of people died due to the heatwave – admitted Michał Marosz, head of the Gdynia Department of Meteorology, Climatology and Atmospheric Protection of the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management – National Research Institute in an interview with tvnmeteo.pl. .
It’s hot as hell in the Iberian Peninsula
Among those struggling with the heat are the inhabitants of the Iberian Peninsula. In many regions, the temperature there exceeded 40 degrees Celsius on Thursday. As meteorologists note, in Madrid and Lisbon such aura has been present since Friday, July 8.
Seville, Spain, is one of the hottest European cities. There, the temperature was above 41 degrees Celsius eight days in a row. According to the German weather service wetteronline.de, on Thursday in Spain it was the hottest in the towns of: Morón de la Frontera, Mérida, Talavera de la Reina. There, the thermometers showed 45 degrees C.
A heat wave in Europe
According to AccuWeather experts, the heat will cover almost all of Europe within a week. There is concern that this scorching heat could turn into a heatwave that will last 20 days or more in many European countries: from Portugal to central France and the central regions of southeast Europe, said Tyler Roys, AccuWeather’s senior meteorologist. He added that such a high temperature could persist until the end of July and even in August. – Applies to Hungarianeastern Croatia, eastern Bosnia, Serbia, southern Romania and northern Bulgaria, the meteorologist noted.
– This heatwave is going to be long indeed. However, it will not be homogeneous in Europe, as indicated by the results of the GFS model – commented Dr. Michał Marosz in an interview with tvnmeteo.pl. He added that it will be relatively stable in Spain and southern Europe until July 17. – Later it will start moving towards France. On Monday, July 18, it will cover western France and partly Germany and England – he explained.
What about Poland?
– This the heat will also reach Polandbut in our country the temperature will not be that high, it will exceed 30 degrees in the south and south-west of Poland – noted Dr. Marosz.
The expert said that the high values on the thermometers will remain in Spain, Italy and the Balkans until July 24. – From July 24, this heat will start to weaken slightly in Western Europe, but it will still be very hot – he added.
He stressed that these were forecasts and could still change. – This heat wave in southern Europe, these high temperatures, will persist for a long time, but whether the heat records will be broken is hard to say – he admitted.
– This year’s summer is taking its toll in southern Europe – he concluded.
Extremely hot where there are fires
According to Roys from AccuWeather, the severity of the coming heat may turn out to be comparable to the wave of 2003, when tens of thousands of people died from the heat.
The most extreme heat will be experienced by Portugal and Spain – countries that have been fighting fires for many days. The Portuguese government has announced a state of high alert due to heat and raging fires, the Associated Press reports.
Will there be records in Great Britain?
AccuWeather’s meteorologists predict that each day the heat will spread further north and east, reaching Belgium, the Netherlands, Germany and the UK.
– July’s all-time temperature records are at stake, they could be beaten or equaled across Ireland and Great Britain Roys said. “This applies to individual cities such as Birmingham, Dublin, Manchester and York,” he added.
The highest temperature in the UK was recorded at the University of Cambridge Botanical Garden on July 25, 2019. It was 38.7 degrees C.
Britain’s Met Office weather report issued its highest-level warning on Friday for the first time in history due to extreme heat. It will apply on Monday and Tuesday in London and in large areas of central England.
Scorching in France. Temperature may approach 40 degrees
AccuWeather forecasts that temperatures in Paris over the weekend and early next week could approach 40 degrees Celsius. When such high figures were recorded during the 2019 heatwave, authorities allowed Parisians to cool down in the Trocadero Fountain near the Eiffel Tower. This measure may be resumed in the coming days.
The impending heat is compared in France with those that hit Europe in 1757. It was the hottest July in the history of Paris with an average temperature of 25 degrees C (during the heat wave in 2006, this value was 24.8 degrees C). On July 14, 1757, thermometers showed 37.5 degrees C.
accuweather.com, BBC, CNN, metoffice.gov.uk, inews.co.uk, sciencedirect.com
Main photo source: PAP / EPA.