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ISW analysts: Ukrainians may suspend the counter-offensive for some time

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Ukrainian forces may temporarily suspend counter-offensive activities in order to reconsider the tactics of future operations, the Institute of War Studies (ISW) has announced in its latest analysis of the situation on the front. He pointed out that “Ukraine has not yet used most of its available forces and has not yet launched the main counter-offensive effort.”

Think tank analysts cite a statement by the head of Estonian military intelligence, Colonel Margo Grosberg, who stated on June 16 that “we will not see an offensive in the next seven days.” The Russian BBC editorial office clarifies that Grosberg had in mind the main Ukrainian counterattack, and he assessed the current actions of the Ukrainian troops as smaller operations aimed at reconnaissance of the Russian defense and finding its weak points.

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In turn, the American “Wall Street Journal” reported in a Wednesday publication that the Ukrainians “probably took a break in their attacks in recent days” due to the fact that the command is analyzing the tactics used.

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ISW: Operational pauses are a common feature of large offensive ventures

The Institute for the Study of War cites its earlier assessments of “local Ukrainian counter-attacks in the south and east UkraineHe points out that “Ukraine has not yet deployed most of its available forces and has not yet launched the main counter-offensive effort.”

“Operational pauses are a common feature of large offensive undertakings and this pause does not mean the end of the Ukrainian counter-offensive” – ​​concludes the ISW.

Ukrainian soldiers in the Bakhmut area Ukrainian Land Forces/Telegram

Accounts of Russian POWs

The center also cites another WSJ publication, prepared on the basis of conversations with Russian prisoners of war who voluntarily surrendered during operations in the area of ​​Velyka Novosiłki in the Donetsk region.

As ISW writes, in this article the prisoners, whose names were not given, spoke of widespread fear in the Russian frontline troops in connection with the Ukrainian counter-offensive. They pointed out that the Russian command sees conscripts and conscripts as “destined to be executed”, sends the wounded back to the front, and uses “barrage troops” that follow the troops assigned for the assault.

These are specialized units that threaten to shoot their own soldiers to prevent them from withdrawing or to force them to attack. The prisoners said they were afraid to return to Russia as part of the exchange between Ukraine and Russia. At the same time, they point to regulations that prohibit voluntary captivity.

Main photo source: Ministry of Defense of Ukraine/Facebook

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