“It doesn't make sense.” An expert on the announcements of Russia and Belarus

The Secretary of the State of the Security Council of Belarus announces the arrangement by Moscow of the Orieser rocket systems. According to expert Andrzej Kiński from the monthly “Army and Technik”, such a movement does not make sense of military and these announcements are only propaganda.

Moscow plans to place on Belarus Orieser rocket systems by the end of 2025 – said Aleksandr Wolfowicz, secretary of the state of the Security Council of Belarus. He did not reveal the exact number of systems, but pointed out that the location of their distribution has already been established.

This is confirmed by the earlier announcements of the President of Belarus, Aleksander Lukashenko. In January 2025, The Kyiv Independent reported that Belarus would soon receive a rocket system from Russia. Lukashenko talked about the initial delivery of 10 complexes, with the possibility of increasing their number if Russia agreed.

Moscow's announcement “doesn't make sense”

According to Andrzej Kiński, editor -in -chief of the monthly “Army and Technik”, such announcements are only propaganda. – The arrangement of these systems in Belarus from a military point of view does not make sense because it exposes them to a quick attack NATO countries. Russia knows this perfectly well – explains the expert.

He adds that if the Orieser system really has a range declared by Russia, then It can be placed much further, even after the Urals, to hurt goals throughout Europe.

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In December 2024, Putin announced the launch of the production of Orieser systems on a massive scale to “protect the security of Russia and its allies”. In the expert's opinion, this declaration should also be considered untrue.

– The production of such a weapon is always individual. The degree of complexity is exactly the same as in the case of intercontinental ballistic missiles. It is a very expensive and long -lasting process, for example, this applies to solid fuel rocket engines – the expert emphasized, justifying why you can speak at most about the ability to produce individual systems.

Rocket attack

On November 21, 2024, Russia hit a rocket with a rocket at Zakłady Zbrojeniowe already in the Dnieper, which in Soviet times produced, among others SS-20 rockets (“Satan”). It was launched from the military base in Kapustin Jar near Astrakhan, about 800 kilometers from the target of Kapustin.

According to the study of Dr. Sidhaarth Kaushal and Matthew Savilla, published in early December 2024, experts of the British Think Tank dealing with the defense of the Royal United Services Institute (Rus), the new experimental weapon of the Kremlin is probably just RS-26 Rubież. It was previously classified as an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM), but subsequent tests allowed that it has a range of up to 5500 km, which would qualify it as IRBM – a medium -range ballistic missile.

The Rubież program was to be suspended in 2017, before withdrawal USA and Russia in 2019 from the Treaty on the complete liquidation of short and medium -range missiles. New reports suggest that it has been restored or used as a basis for building a new weapon.

The ornster of the Kremlin propaganda weapons

According to Ukrainian intelligence, six non -nuclear heads were used to hit the Dnieper, each of them dispersed six subpocisks.

After the attack on the Dnieper, the Kremlin made a propaganda weapon. Putin argued that this ballistic missile is aimed at a target at a speed of 10 times exceeding the speed of the sound (i.e. 10 machines) and that-even unarmed in the nuclear heads-it is able to destroy underground, several-story shelters.

Speed, protective flares and a blow from impact are to make it insensitive to all anti -aircraft defense systems. In the Russian media there were publications with infographics depicting at what time the rocket will reach individual goals in Europe. And so achieving the base in Redzikowo would allegedly take her 11 minutes, and Brussels – 17.

An expert of another British Think Tank – Chatham House, Mathieu Boulègue after an attack on Dniepr and the launch of the propaganda machine stated that if the ornshuscan is not a weapon that changes the rules of playing on the battlefield, when it comes to psychological war, it works perfectly.