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Labor market. How many employers will be laying off and how many will be hiring? The research results

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6 percent of employers plan to cut jobs in the second half of the year, according to Randstad research. It was added that 16 percent of companies declare to increase the number of employees.

According to the authors of the study “Employers’ plans” carried out by the Randstad Research Institute and Gfk Polonia, the uncertainty related to the macroeconomic situation prevents employers from planning new recruitments in the second half of the year. “Although the worse mood of companies translates into a slowdown in employment growth, at the same time employers are announcing increases, and the reason for them will not only be the increase in minimum wagebut also persistent wage pressure.

Situation on the labor market

16% of companies declare that they will increase the number of employees in the next six months. companies, while in the same period last year it was 25 percent. “The trend of ‘freezing’ recruitment and the indicator at the level of 16% has been maintained since the autumn edition of the survey. Earlier, we had such a low level in the pandemic year 2020 (17%)” – it was indicated.

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In turn, 75 percent employers want to maintain the current level of employment, and 6 percent. intends to reduce the number of employees (decrease by 1 pp within six months). Increasing employment is most often declared by: modern SSC/BPO business services (25 percent of responses), construction (21 percent), companies operating in the transport, storage and communication sectors (21 percent) and finance and insurance (19 percent) .).


It was noted that 24% of employers intend to look for casual workers during the holidays, and last year this indicator was 31 percent. This summer, internships and traineeships will be most often offered (15% of all employers), casual work to help companies during the holiday season (8%) and related to the seasonality of business operations (8%).

Readiness to employ temporary workers is most often declared by the SSC/BPO industry (50%) and it will most often need interns and apprentices (41%). Whereas 22 percent of companies in this sector must start recruitment during holidays to ensure continuity of work during holidays. 37 percent are planning summer recruitment. companies related to construction – the largest percentage of companies declare employment “due to the seasonality of their activities” (23%)

The issue of remuneration in companies

At the same time, 34 percent of enterprises plan to raise wages over the next six months, which means an increase of 6 pp compared to the same period last year. Employees of the modern business services sector, where half of the enterprises anticipate them, can most often count on an increase in remuneration. 49% say they will go up. financial and insurance companies and 39 percent. employers from “other service activities”.

Among the companies that intend to raise wages, the largest part (28 percent) indicate increases of 2-4 percent; 25 percent wants to raise salaries by 4-7 percent, and 15 percent each companies consider increases of no more than 2 percent. and 7-10 percent.


The study shows that 60% of employers still assess their financial situation as good or very good. The best financial condition is declared by representatives of the real estate and business services sector (76 per cent). The second is the SSC/BPO industry as well as finance and insurance, where 72 percent are satisfied. entrepreneurs. In the group of companies operating in trade and repairs, 11 percent. indicates “bad or very bad condition”.

A recession in the coming six months is feared by 31% of respondents. employers; in the November survey, 53% of respondents had these concerns. companies. Most often, these are companies from the transport, storage and communication sectors (35 percent of responses). From autumn from 4 to 6 percent. the percentage of companies that predict economic growth has increased. The greatest optimism can be seen in the SSC/BPO industry – an increase of 25% is forecast. entrepreneurs.

The authors of the “Employers’ Plans” study also checked how companies reacted to the change in the regulations on remote work and what forms of compensation for its costs are most often granted to employees. According to 67 percent companies, the new rules have not changed anything “because employees have not previously performed their duties remotely”. 19 percent of companies declare that despite the need to pay compensation, their employees can still use remote work to the same extent as before; 5 percent due to compensation, limited the scope of remote work, and 4 percent. decided that, apart from the cases specified in the code, employees will have to return to the office.

Companies mostly awarded a fixed amount of compensation, regardless of how much time employees perform their duties remotely (38%); 34 percent opted for different amounts, calculated on the basis of assigning employees to groups by working time remote. Whereas 9 percent declares that they calculate the amount individually, taking into account internet and energy bills, 8 percent. did not grant any compensation, and 11% has not made a decision on this matter.

The survey was carried out in the period from April 6 to May 16 this year. using the CATI and CAWI method on a sample of 1,000 companies, representative of the industry and size of the company. Companies employing less than 10 people, personnel consulting companies and those for which temporary employment agencies do not provide services (eg agriculture, mining) were excluded from the sample.

Main photo source: Shutterstock

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