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Local elections 2024. Minimal differences in support in the largest Polish cities in the past

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Zielona Góra, Olsztyn, Opole – among others, in such cities, in the past, only a few hundred votes determined the candidates' victory in the second round. Now the minimum difference in support will decide who will become the president of Krakow – Aleksander Miszalski and Łukasz Gibała are separated from the passing party by less than the margin of statistical error. Just like in 2002, Jacek Majchrowski from his then opponent.

The result of the Ipsos exit poll in Krakow does not indicate a clear winner of the second round of local government elections in Krakow. The candidates fighting for the mayor of the second largest city in Poland received almost identical support. According to the first poll after the end of the electoral silence, Aleksander Miszalski from KO received 51.1 percent. votesa non-party Łukasz Gibała – 48.9 percent The difference between them is 2.2 points. percent, which is less than the statistical error declared by Ipsos.

Read also: Local government elections. Exit poll results from Kraków, Wrocław and Rzeszów

Aleksander Miszalski and Łukasz GibałaPAP/Art Service, Łukasz Gągulski

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There have been even closer official election results in history. In some large cities, several hundred votes decided who took over after the second round of local elections – as one of the users, Krzysztof Załęski, recalled on the X platform (formerly Twitter).


Won by a hair in the Polish local elections

Let's start with Krakow, because it was in this city that in 2002, in the first direct elections for the city's mayor, Jacek Majchrowski surprisingly took power, serving for the next 22 years – then a candidate supported by SLD. In the second round he faced Józef Lassota, achieving 50.47%. support. Majchrowski's victory was decided by a 1,421-vote advantage.

Jacek MajchrowskiJakub Wlodek / Agencja Wyborcza.pl

In 2014, an even smaller difference in votes determined who won the election for the mayor of Olsztyn. In the second round, 50.47 percent Piotr Grzymowicz, who has been ruling the city since 2009 (he did not run for re-election in these elections), received votes (the same number as in Krakow). He was separated by only 533 votes from his losing opponent, Czesław Małkowski. In 2002, Małkowski narrowly won over his competitor, Jerzy Szmit, achieving 51.32%. support, which is exactly 848 votes more than Szmit.

A small difference was also noted in 2010 in Opole, when Tomasz Garbowski from SLD and Ryszard Zembaczyński from PO fought for the presidency. Ultimately, the latter won, but the difference was small – 51.3 percent voted for the Platform's candidate. voters. Zembaczyński received only 644 votes more than his competitor.

50.96 percent this, in turn, was the result of Michał Zaleski, the mayor of Toruń in 2002 – a local government official rules this city to this day. In his first election as president of Toruń, he defeated Jan Wyrowiński by 810 votes.

In 2006, he won the second round of local elections in Zielona Góra with 53.09 percent support. Janusz Kubicki, SLD candidate. Thus, he overtook PO's candidate, Bożenna Bukiewicz, by 2,098 votes and became president, which he remains to this day.

Main photo source: PAP/Art Service, Łukasz Gągulski

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