Meteorologists with the coming years. A disturbing record will fall?

Experts from the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) warn in the latest report “Global Annual to Decadal Climate Update” against progressing climate change. Their calculations show that at least one year in the next five years (2025-2029) will be record warm. Experts estimate the probability at up to 80 percent.

According to the report, in the years 2025-2029 the average global temperature on Earth each year will be from 1.2 to 1.9 degrees Celsius higher than the average from 1850-1900.

Experts also write that there is an 86 % probability that at least one year in 2025-2029 will cross the threshold of the Paris Agreement. This means that the average global temperature will be higher by over 1.5 degrees Celsius from before the industrial era.

According to climatologists, there is also a great chance (70 percent) that five-year average warming in 2025-2029 will be over 1.5 degrees Celsius-this is a large increase compared to last year's report (47 % for 2024-2028) and studies from 2023 (32 % for 2023-2027).

“Every additional fraction of the insulation degree drives heat waves, extreme rainfall, intense drought, melting ice cover, sea ice and glaciers, heating the oceans and rising of the level of the seas” – wrote in the report.

The purpose of the Paris Agreement from 2015 was to reduce global warming well below 2 degrees Celsius, and ultimately to 1.5 degrees C relative to the pre -industrial era. In 2024, the hottest year in the history of measurements, this agreement was first violated.

The report also shows that the increase in average temperature in the Arctic region will be even faster – in winter seasons (i.e. from November to March) over 3.5 times greater than the world average and 2.4 degrees Celsius higher than the average from 1991-2020.