The campaign is gaining momentum, although not officially yet. The latest presidential poll shows that the number of undecided voters is as much as over 15 percent and among these undecided there are many disappointed women.
PiS candidate Karol Nawrocki, according to the latest Opinia24 poll for RMF FM, is unable to win new voters, but his main opponent – Rafał Trzaskowski – is unable to keep his own.
– Represents 17 contradictory positions towards himself in one week. If it has dropped, it means that Poles also see it, comments Karol Nawrocki. – God forbid, I don't underestimate it, I don't downplay it. I said from the very beginning that it would be a difficult campaign and would require a lot of work from us to convince Poles that we were right – sums up Rafał Trzaskowski.
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In a survey by Opinia24 for RMF FM, Trzaskowski lost almost 9 percentage points in just a month. Less than 30 percent of respondents support it. This is still more than Karol Nawrocki, whose result almost did not change (23 percent).
Opinia24 presidential poll for RMF FMOpinia24/RMF FM/TVN24
Women in the group of undecided
Disappointed voters of the Civic Coalition candidate are mainly women. – Women have not changed their preferences, but they have hidden in the group of undecided people, so it seems that they can still be regained – says Urszula Krassowska, director of social research Opini24.
Trzaskowski and other candidates from the ruling coalition, who failed to accept the votes of disappointed women and undecided voters, which is almost 16 percent of voters, may pay the price for not fulfilling their election promises, and above all this one – liberalization of the abortion law.
– This is a yellow card. I believe that we should adopt at least a decriminalizing act as soon as possible, and there is such a chance, says Ryszard Petru, MP of the Third Way.
However, this is about changing the law, which President Andrzej Duda does not agree to, and which – as he announces – Karol Nawrocki would not support. That's why this may be one of the main topics of the presidential campaign.
– We know that we have to wake up our electorate, show what it will be like if Rafał Trzaskowski wins, and what it will be like if Mr. Nawrocki wins – emphasizes Dariusz Joński, MEP from the Civic Coalition.
“The campaign in our country continues all the time”TVN24
One of the candidates gained the most
The politician who gained the most is Sławomir Mentzen from Konfederacja. More than 13 percent of respondents support it. This is the third position, which he may lose, however, when his party colleague Grzegorz Braun joins the race for president, as he has announced. They will divide their votes among themselves.
– The Confederation has a candidate, and that candidate is Sławomir Mentzen. We do not intend to change the decision we made in August last year, assures Krzysztof Bosak, Confederation MP.
This is a chance for Szymon Hołownia, who is fourth, with the support of over 7 percent. The candidate of the Left, Magdalena Biejat, may lose almost four percent support to her former party colleague, Adrian Zandberg, who has only just announced his start.
– Marshal Biejat is in the first league of politics when it comes to parties, support and structures. And Mr. Adrian Zandberg is in the second or third league. We do our job – comments Tomasz Trela, MP from the Left.
According to the Opinia24 poll for RMF FM, Rafał Trzaskowski and Karol Nawrocki will advance to the second round. The winner will be decided by the undecided.
Main photo source: PAP/Tomasz Gzell