Sky Sports activities Racing’s senior kind analyst Jamie Lynch assesses the 14 runners within the November Handicap at Newcastle which is reside on Sky Sports activities Racing on Saturday…
It is the November Handicap, Jim, however not as we all know it. The rearrangement from Doncaster to Newcastle has moved the goalposts, initially the change in floor, serving to some and hindering others.
The sphere is smaller than the same old 20+, all of which makes it a reasonably extra extraordinary handicap than historically, although no lesser a typical, all bar two of the sector working off a mark of 90 or greater. Let’s undergo them…..
TEUMESSIAS FOX
Jockey: Callum Hutchinson (3) | Coach: Andrew Balding
He is one for whom the change to synthetics might be a Positive contemplating his final two all-weather makes an attempt resulted in wins by eight-and-a-half lengths and four-and-three-quarter lengths. Has been freshened up for this since an unfortunate fifth underneath high weight within the Racing League occasion that labored out the perfect in your complete collection, and Callum Hutchinson’s declare successfully brings his mark again to sub-100, which is properly inside his means. Loads of upside.
MR ALAN
Jason Hart | George Boughey
Would have been difficult for favouritism if the race was at its pure house of dangerous floor Doncaster as he is in his component underneath such situations, emphasised this autumn, when he has been profitable at Nottingham and simply pipped at Newmarket final week, proof he is higher than final 12 months (fifth in November Handicap), additionally brisker, after his return was delayed till September. That is one occasion the place the vacation spot issues greater than the journey, Newcastle much less appropriate with him than the Doncaster mud.
CHILLINGHAM
PJ McDonald | Ed Bethell
Possibly the tongue strap is the reply to the query of what is lacking? It is due to his dynamic growth as much as and together with Royal Ascot (fourth to Vauban and Absurde) that the query has come up since, twice crushed favorite and wanting one thing, exhausting to know precisely what. However the break is the refresher and the tongue tie is the treatment, doubtlessly at the least, and there is undoubtedly a way of unfinished enterprise about him. P.J McDonald is one/one on him.
EUCHEN GLEN
Paul Mulrennan | Jim Goldie
A winding-down warrior, Father Time assembly Mom Nature, therefore it is two-and-a-half years since he final gained. Remarkably ran on this race approach again in 2017, unthreatening then and once more in 2020, although he was a short-head second within the Northumberland Vase in 2018, the one time he is been on the all-weather within the final six years.
LOCAL DYNASTY
William Buick | Charlie Appleby
Began the season on the periphery of the Derby image, reappearing within the Dee Stakes, however he bought caught within the departure lounge like many of the secure’s three-year-olds, not taking off there nor in handicaps at Royal Ascot and the July Competition. The reset button has been pressed with the lay-off and the gelding operation and if there is a horse who’ll take this race aside then it is him, however it’s exhausting to suck up the quick odds when he is having his first go on the journey and on the all-weather.
Native Dynasty (centre) chases Burdett Street house at Royal Ascot
PRYDWEN
Sean Levey | George Scott
Beat one house within the 2022 November Handicap however he is not a mudder, and the change to synthetics this time is music to his ears, having gained thrice on the all-weather. A mark within the mid-90s has appeared his tipping level, however that is why first-time cheekpieces have been enlisted, and he is been freshened up for this, off since August. The actual fact he goes so properly on Tapeta ought to see him beat greater than beats him.
LAAFI
Cieren Fallon | William Haggas
You do not see many William Haggas handicappers go off at 20/1 however the truth Laafi did at Newmarket mirrored a stuttering season to that time, a nook turned, so says his clean success, however the dynamics are decidedly completely different right here, together with the basics of journey and floor. What’s extra, he will not be allowed the straightforward lead which was the method if not the ability behind his Newmarket reawakening.
PLEASANT MAN
Dylan Hogan | Jack Jones
Seemed the best uncooked materials for hurdling as a three-year-old, the explanation why he value 175,000 guineas to get him on Paul Nicholls’ staff, however his coronary heart was by no means in it, and now he is having to begin once more from scratch for a brand new yard, on a brand new floor to him.
BERAZ
Graham Lee | Julie Camacho
Section Three goes properly, one having been his basis in France and two his quick and bitter spell as a hurdler. Bar one blip he has gone from energy to energy in his time with Julie Camacho and the 3lb rise for his newest win at Leicester appears lenient provided that was an particularly robust 0-90, to not point out that 10f is a naked minimal for him. From profile to kind and method, each field is ticked besides all-weather, having by no means earlier than skilled it, not that it is a lot of a purpose to carry again lately.
SPLENDENT
Luke Morris | Paul and Oliver Cole
Had a Hungarian hotspot this summer season underneath Frankie Dettori however in and round that he is simply appeared to discover a mark within the 90s a bit past him. The plus factors if you’d like them are that he gained at Newcastle in his youthful days and maps to be higher positioned than most in a race that will flip tactical.
FURZIG
Billy Garritty | Richard Fahey
Would not have made the reduce on turf, the place his mark is simply 78, however his cut up ranking (90 on all-weather) will get him entry, and he was greater nonetheless – raced off 100 – the final time we noticed him on synthetics. Briefly, circumstances have given him an opportunity, as has the handicapper, however aged eight it is nonetheless asking quite a lot of him to outrun the youthful weapons, even when he’s a five-time winner on the all-weather.
ONESMOOTHOPERATOR
Ben Robinson | Brian Ellison
Out of the successful behavior however again on the boil currently and this can be a house fixture for him, within the first three on seven of his 9 runs at Newcastle. This race is little or no higher than the 0-105 wherein he wasn’t crushed far into fifth over this course and distance final month, and he is a full of life longshot, extra so if the gallop is stronger in observe than on paper.
MUSTAZEED
Kaiya Fraser (5) | Harry Eustace
The race rearrangement has compromised his likelihood as Doncaster – the place he was crushed solely by a resurgent Sure Lad final time – and smooth floor have served him properly, whereas he is zero-five on all-weather. Extra of a problem than the Tapeta is the journey, as he is pretty late in life for a departure in distance, going past 10f for the primary time.
STRUTH
Joe Fanning | Charlie Johnston
His successful return at Chester again in Might was one thing of a false daybreak because it has been sideways ever since, holding his personal all the identical, together with within the high-value {Old} Rowley Cup final time at Newmarket the place he perhaps did an excessive amount of too quickly. A 3-year-old from that secure lurking on the foot of the weights is an attractive proposition, although this shall be his all-weather debut.
JAMIE LYNCH’S VERDICT
Litigant in 2015 is the one high weight to win within the final 25 years, however the truth this can be a November Handicap with a twist – on the all-weather with a smaller area – might imply that class counts, and TEUMESSIAS FOX matches the invoice completely as one who was twice fourth to Hamish in Group Threes this summer season and is a benefactor of the synthetics change given his proficiency and effectivity on the all-weather.
Watch all of the motion from Newcastle on Saturday reside on Sky Sports activities Racing.