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Party poll – October 2024. KO is in the lead, followed by PiS. Third Confederation. Still “without a clear leader”

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The Civic Coalition can count on the support of 33.3 percent of respondents. 32.4 percent would vote for Law and Justice – according to a survey by Opinia24. Confederation is in third place with 12.2 percent. As expert Anna Trząsalska noted in a commentary on the study, a year after the parliamentary elections, “we can see that the race for the first place in the polls is still ongoing, without a clear leader being chosen.”

The Opinia24 studio carried out survey on Poles' electoral preferences. It shows that the Civic Coalition could count on 33.3 percent. votes of the respondents. It came in second place Law and Justice with a result of 32.4 percent

She took the last place on the podium Confederationfor which 12.2% declared voting.

The left recorded support of 8.8 percent. It was followed by the Third Way, i.e. Poland 2050 i PSLwith a result of 7.9 percent.

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The “other party” option was chosen by 0.4 percent. subjects. The answer “difficult to say” was chosen by 5%.

As noted by the studio, “compared to the previous month, the percentage of people planning to vote for the Civic Coalition (by 2 percentage points) and Law and Justice (by 1.6 percentage points) increased, while support for the Third Way decreased (by 2.6 percentage point).

The Confederation's result basically did not change (decrease by 0.1 percentage points), just like that of the Left (decrease by 0.3 percentage points).

SEE ALSO: A year has passed since the elections. This is how Poles assess the change of government

Support for political partiesOpinion24

Respondents were also asked whether they would take part in the elections if they were held now. The answer “definitely yes” was given by 57%, and “probably yes” by 22%. The options “probably not” and “definitely not” were chosen by 9 percent each. asked.

The answer “difficult to say” was given by 3%.

The race continues, there is no clear leader

The survey was conducted one year after the last parliamentary elections in Poland. As social research expert Anna Trząsalska noted in a comment to the summary of results, “after a year we can see that the race for the first place in the polls is still going on, without a clear leader.”

“The Civic Coalition, with its ups and downs, has been strengthening and stabilizing its position in recent months, while Law and Justice, after falling in the post-election months, is regaining its strong position,” she wrote.

As we read, “we can see even more dynamics in the situation of the Third Way and the Confederation.” “The former achieved a very high result in the elections, but was unable to maintain it and has now dropped to fifth place in terms of support. Confederation, on the other hand, despite its low result in the elections, began to gain supporters in May to such an extent that it is now the third power in this respect political in Poland,” we read.

The survey was conducted on October 15-18 on a representative group of 1,001 adult residents of Poland. The study was carried out using computer-assisted telephone interviews (CATI).

Main photo source: Albert Zawada/PAP



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