Presidential election 2025. Last Late Poll study

Rafał Trzaskowski, a candidate of the Civic Coalition, won 31.2 percent of votes in the first round of presidential elections. Karol Nawrocki, a candidate of Law and Justice, obtained 29.7 percent of support – according to the second, last study late Poll from 90 percent of electoral commissions.

On Sunday, the first round of presidential elections took place. 13 candidates took part in it. Here are the results of the second, last study late Poll conducted on Sunday evening by the Ipsos Center on behalf of TVN24, Polsat News and TVP:

Rafał Trzaskowski – 31.2 percent,

Karol Nawrocki – 29.7 percent,

Sławomir Mentzen – 14.5 percent,

Grzegorz Braun – 6.3 percent,

Szymon Hołownia – 4.9 percent,

Adrian ZandberG – 4.8 percent,

Magdalena Biejat – 4.1 percent,

Joanna Senyszyn – 1.4 percent,

Krzysztof Stanowski – 1.3 percent,

Marek Jakubiak – 0.8 percent,

Artur Bartoszewicz – 0.5 percent,

Maciej Maciak – 0.4 percent,

Marek Woch – 0.1 percent.

The error of estimating the candidate's result in the last study late Poll is +/- 1 percentage point.

According to this study – just like the first late Poll and Exit Poll – the attendance on a national scale was 66.8 percent.

One of the biggest changes in the results of the late Poll towards Exit Poll (published at 21) are the positions of Szymon Hołownia and Adrian Zandberg. In Exit Poll, Zanberg was fifth with a score of 5.2 percent, and the sixth Hołownia with 4.8 percent. In the last Late Poll they changed their places.

Exit Poll this poll election preferences. It is conducted by a research institution on the day of election before randomly selected polling stations. Media, usually nationwide television stations, commission it. The study consists in the fact that the interviewers ask a specific number of people leaving the polling station, as they voted.

Results Late Poll They are developed by interviewers – also Ipsos – after closing the polling stations, based on official data from randomly selected regional electoral commissions, after counting all votes in them.