Presidential election 2025. “Trzaskowski was extremely briefly the declared president”

– This is really a shock for Rafał Trzaskowski's staffs – said Patryk Michalski's journalist Patryk Michalski, commenting on the results of late Poll. According to this study, Karol Nawrocki won the second round of presidential elections, winning 51 percent of votes. In the opinion of Professor Rafał Chwedoruk, the difference between the candidates will eventually “be noticeable”.

WITH new late poll survey Published after 1am, Karol Nawrocki won the second round presidential elections. He won 51 percent of votes. Rafał Trzaskowski, a candidate of the Civic Coalition, won 49 percent of votes according to this study. The turnout in the election amounted to 71.7 percent.

The estimation error of the candidate's result for this test is +/- 0.5 percentage points.

Elections 2025. “Shock for Trzaskowski Staff”

– I think after the competition – he commented after 1am two poll Late Poll on TVN24 Publicist “Political Krytyka” Sławomir Sierakowski.

According to Professor Rafał Chwedoruk, a political scientist from the University of Warsaw, “we can consider elections to be decided”. – And it also looks like the difference will be noticeable, at least comparable with the difference in previous elections – then in favor Andrzej Duda he added.

Andrzej Duda in 2020 won with Rafał Trzaskowski with a difference of over 400,000 votes and just over two percent.

As the journalist of Wirtualna Polska, Patryk Michalski said, “it looks like Karol Nawrocki would be the next president of Poland and that Rafał Trzaskowski was extremely briefly the declared president.”

“I was surprised by this enthusiasm of the staff, I was surprised by the enthusiasm of Rafał Trzaskowski,” Michalski admitted, referring to the first moments after 21 and reaction at the staff of the KO candidate after publication of the poll Exit Poll. In his opinion, “this is really, it must be said directly, a shock for Rafał Trzaskowski's staffs.”

“Everyone believed in this victory”

Michalski said that he asked the KO candidate on the staff of the plans that evening, what to do with the government, about what emotion was really beyond the cameras. “

– I think everyone really believed in this victory. The ministers mentioned the laws that will now go to Rafał Trzaskowski's desk, they were visions about the coalition on October 15, Adam Bodnar He talked about restoring the rule of law, healing the status of judges, and here suddenly within a few hours it turns out that the entire coalition project on October 15 is in question – commented the journalist.

– As if I were to summarize it somehow in a nutshell, it seems to me that there were too little beads, and there was too much about Snus, who is indeed nicotine, is not illegal, and suddenly became some gigantic scandal – said Sierakowski.

The red beads in this campaign were the hallmark of the candidate also Joanna Senyszyn, who did not enter the second round. As Sierakowski said, “the story of Joanna Senyszyn was something really positive.” He admitted that she was “a candidate who actually had very little chance also in such an institutional, staff base (…) and existed.” “She didn't get any great support, but it was something very positive,” he added.

– If, with all this institutional strength, with the resources that Rafał Trzaskowski had, a little less was put on opening people's eyes, and a bit more about talking about something else … – he continued, although he did not finish the sentence, and emphasized that “it really is not that people do not know that PiS has tightened abortion and now you have to remind you again.”

“He will have problems with legitimacy within Polish political elites”

Chwedoruk talked about what would be before Nawrocki if he actually won the election. – In this tactical aspect, this main challenge of Karol Nawrocki will be the search for legitimacy in international space, so that well -known politicians from outside would like to meet him. Apart from, let's say, representatives of the current American administration – he assessed. The expert admitted that contacts with the American side are “a lot of support, but it is not enough to the end.” – Many politicians will probably be waiting (for this – ed.), What it will lead to – the political scientist pointed out.

– However, in the long -term dimension it will be the president, despite probably a very clear victory, who will also have problems with legitimacy within Polish political elites. He will be largely dependent on Law and Justice as a party, but he will also have to negatively agree to the directions of American policy in international space – he added.

The expert pointed out that “for now, the majority of power tools in their hands have the current government.”