Presidential elections 2025. Who will the undecided choose? Przemysław Sadura comments

In “Facts after Facts” on TVN24, Przemysław Sadura said that “if it is very close” between the candidates after the publication of the exit poll survey after the election, “we cannot announce who the winner is”. He noted that between the announcement of survey and official results “a lot can change”.

The last hours of the election campaign last before the second round of presidential elections. On Sunday, June 1, voters will decide who: Rafał Trzaskowski (KO) or Karol Nawrocki (PiS) will become another head of state. Pre -election polls They point to slight differences in the support between the candidates.

Professor Sadura: It may turn out that it is the voices of abroad that will decide

In “Facts after Facts” on TVN24 sociologist dr hab. Przemysław Sadura from the University of Warsaw and the publicist of “Krytyka Polityczna” was asked what the situation means when the poll results mean a draw, but a few percent of respondents refuse to answer.

Sadura replied that “we already know it one hundred percent, comparing the polls from the first round, that the right wing voters were ashamed of whether they wanted to admit” to vote for their candidates.

The TVN24 guest distinguished pre -election polls and forecasts. “When the forecast is made, these voices are separated, but not evenly, but using such a division, for example, two -thirds for Nawrocki,” he explained.

He clarified that when we are dealing with a forecast, “it is so that those voices of people who refused to answer or said that they are still hesitating.” – And it separates unevenly, only with this knowledge about how it will look really – added Sadura.

The sociologist agreed with the claim that when we know the results of the study Exit Poll On Sunday at 21 and the difference will be small, the result of the election will not be sure yet. – If it is very close, we cannot announce who is the winner. A lot can change here. We will be waiting for the results of voting abroad. These differences are so small that it may turn out that it is the voices of abroad that will decide – he assessed.