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Sergei Shoigu and Yevgeny Prigozhin’s whereabouts unclear in absence of any clear path from Vladimir Putin | World Information

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The mud is settling. The injury is deep. And the query stays, particularly within the absence of any clear path from Vladimir Putin – what occurs subsequent?

Count on the Kremlin to ship a bit extra of the “enterprise as regular”, “nothing to see right here” Putin diary appointment movies.

Russia-Ukraine latest: Wagner boss Prigozhin’s whereabouts unknown as rival seen for first time

Now we have video of the defence minister Sergei Shoigu inspecting a Western command ahead working base apparently within the “particular army operation zone”, supposedly this morning, although Telegram chatter is busily debating whether or not it was filmed earlier than the coup occurred.

And Wagner Group chief Yevgeny Prigozhin was presumably advised in no unsure phrases to maintain his head down in Belarus in the interim, even when he’s not the kind who likes to maintain quiet for lengthy.

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So what is going to occur to the highest army command, who’ve simply weathered weeks of criticism and a short-lived however harmful armed rise up?

How a lot credibility do they nonetheless have within the eyes of their males when 1000’s if not lots of of 1000’s serving within the Russian armed forces should have watched these Prigozhin movies and felt a number of residence truths?

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Has Wagner rise up weakened Putin?

Prigozhin was good at taking the aspect of his troops, mentioning the pointlessness of the entire Ukraine train, raging towards the hideous and pointless lack of life.

That should imply deal when you’re sitting on the frontlines questioning when you’re subsequent.

Learn extra:
On the streets of Moscow, people seem shaken up by Wagner Group rebellion
What does the aborted Russian mutiny mean for the war in Ukraine?

Putin famously favours loyalty and Shoigu and his chief of the final workers Valery Gerasimov have been nothing however loyal.

The commander-in-chief can even not wish to look as if he has been pressured to bow to strain, particularly not from Prigozhin who he has simply denounced as a traitor.

However there’s now hypothesis that he’s casting round for options.

Governor of the Tula area, Alexei Dyumin, is a type of talked about as a doable Shoigu successor.

If there’s a reshuffling, then it can in all probability occur as soon as the mud has settled.

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It was additionally obvious from the entire contracts debacle that Shoigu – and subsequently Putin – should have determined that the Ukraine struggle may and will now solely be dealt with by the ministry of defence and that every one different freelance items, Wagner being essentially the most distinguished, ought to be integrated into the fold.

That was a sign that Shoigu was on the up.

It was in all probability additionally the rationale why Prigozhin determined to probability it, demanding Wagner be seen on an equal however separate footing to the Russian armed forces. Folie de grandeur, maybe.

So if Putin replaces Shoigu now, he appears to be like weaker nonetheless.

Although I’ll end with the caveat, given Saturday’s lightning occasions, that every one is unpredictable and stays so, regardless of the obvious calm of the final 24 hours.

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