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The border with Belarus. Witold Jurasz on the four goals of Alyaksandr Lukashenka

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Witold Jurasz, a journalist of Onet and former chargé d’affaires of the Polish embassy in Belarus, referred to the situation on the border with Belarus in “Fakty po Faktach”. He said that there are four goals of Alyaksandr Lukashenka. In his opinion, the most important thing may be “to aggravate the situation so as to give the Russians an excuse to deploy their armed forces in Belarus.” General Jarosław Stróżyk, vice president of the Stratpoints Foundation assessed that “the situation is certainly serious”.

On Monday morning, the media circulated information from Polish services and ministries about a large group of migrants planning to cross the Belarusian border with Poland. Migrants are located in the vicinity of Kuźnica. The Ministry of National Defense informed in the afternoon that the Ministry of Interior and Administration services and soldiers had managed to stop the first mass attempt to cross the border. It added that the migrants set up a camp in the Kuźnica area.

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General Jarosław Stróżyk, vice president of the Stratpoints Foundation said in “Fakty po Faktach” that “the situation is certainly serious”. – At the moment, we are once again reacting to the actions of Lukashenka and Putin, who tacitly supports, from the post-election problems, Mr (Alyaksandr) Lukashenka. But I also think that Lukashenka saw that he had the last chance for such actions, because we know that sometimes in the east, in conflict situations, the weather is ruled by the weather. And these migrants will not last too long, so perhaps this is why such a frontal attack on our border and another check of the readiness for action of our officers, soldiers, everyone involved there – he assessed.

Onet’s journalist and former chargé d’affaires of the Polish embassy in Belarus, Vytautas Jurasz, said that there are four goals for Lukashenka. – The first is a bit irrational element, but in the case of dictators it often plays a role, i.e. it is simply revenge, revenge against Poland for our attitude in last summer during protests in Belarus – he pointed out.

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The second goal, he said, “would be to lead to a situation in which we would start talks with the Minsk regime without the precondition, which until now was the release of political prisoners from the entire West.”

– The third goal, not only of Lukashenka, but also of Putin, would be to ridicule Poland as an unreliable partner both within the European Union and NATO, a partner that is unable to defend the border, said Jurasz.

– But it seems to me that the most important goal may be the fourth one, which is the least talked about in Poland, i.e. to aggravate the situation so as to give the Russians an excuse to deploy their armed forces in Belarus. They are there to a very limited extent, but it would be about creating permanent bases, which would be a drama for Poland – he assessed.



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