The Civic Coalition, Third Way and New Left can count on a total of 250 seats. PiS and Konfederacja – for 209 seats. The absolute majority is 231 seats.
The opposition has a chance to take power in Poland – this is the result of the latest Kantar poll for “Fakty” TVN and TVN24 before the election silence. Three opposition parties – KO, Trzecia Droga, Nowa Lewica – can count on 250 seatsi.e. a clear majority in the Sejm – this 6 seats more than in the Kantar survey for “Fakty” TVN and TVN24 a week ago.
The latest study shows that Civic Coalition would get 150 seats (a decrease of 7 seats compared to the survey of October 4), Trzecia Droga – 52 seats (an increase of 11)a New Left – 48 seats (increase by 2). PIS can count on 173 seats in the Sejm (down by 15 seats)a Confederation on 36 places (increase by 9). Although Law and Justice has the greatest support, even with the support of the Confederation there is no chance of forming a government. The study was carried out on a larger and more precise sample than before. One seat would go to the German Minority.
Poll: PiS with the greatest support
According to the results of the latest Kantar survey for “Fakty” TVN and TVN24 – the most voters – 31 percent – I want to vote for Law and Justice. This a decrease of three percentage points compared to research from October 4.
It is in second place Civic Coalitionwhich can count on support at 26 percent. This decrease by 4 percentage points compared to the previous study.
The podium closes Third Way with level support 12 percent (increase by 3 percentage points). Further places include: New Left (11 percent – increase by 1 percentage point) and Confederation (8 percent – unchanged). According to the survey results, they have no chance of crossing the electoral threshold Non-partisan local government officialsfor which he wants to vote 3 percent respondents (increase by 1 percentage point).
The answer “I don’t know, it’s hard to say/I haven’t decided yet” was indicated 8 percent (increase by 3 percentage points) respondents, a 1 percent (down by 1 percentage point) respondents declared that they intended to vote for “another electoral committee”.
The telephone survey was conducted by Kantar on October 10-12, 2023 on a nationwide, representative sample of 1,702 adult people.
Main photo source: Fakty TVN