Victory Donald Trump throughout the entire election campaign United States was recognized as one of the worst scenarios for Ukraine. Paradoxically, some representatives of the authorities in Kiev were secretly counting on the Republican's triumph. “It shows bluntly how bad things are happening in this country in recent months,” writes “The Economist”.
The entry shows hopes for Trump's return to the White House Volodymyr Zelensky right after the announcement of the final election result overseas. “We are looking forward to it the era of a strong United States of America under the decisive leadership of President Trump,” the President of Ukraine congratulated.
Ukraine-Russia. Will Donald Trump end the war? Kyiv was counting on the Republican's victory
What proves this reaction from Kiev? The British weekly points out that there was an alternative to the war-ravaged country Kamala Harrisi.e. a continuator of the political line Joe Biden's.
The Ukrainian administration was supposed to be there already frustrated by conservative actions democrats who, on the one hand, declared military aid, but on the other hand, delayed its delivery and introduced further restrictions on the use of weapons by Ukrainians for fear of escalation. Donald Trump is supposed to bring it any solutionwhich Biden has not guaranteed for a long time.
“Trump's victory has consequences two possible scenarios for Ukrainy – at best, it will help her get out of the bloody impasse. At worst, it will sink her,” says “The Economist”.
Donald Trump and the war in Ukraine. Two scenarios for ending the conflict
Kyiv is aware that the Republican said during his campaign that will resolve the conflict with Russia within 24 hours. However, it is still unclear how this would happen. He may not even know it himself Donald Trump.
There are two proposals on the table – the first one assumes freezing the war at its current stage and forcing Ukraine to remain neutral without clear guarantees of Western security and imposing restrictions on those eager for success on the front Vladimir Putin.
The second concept, in turn, talks about increasing military support for Ukraine as part of deterrent measures Moscow and maintaining the prospect of the country joining NATO. This was presented at the end of July by a former secretary of state in the Trump administration Mike’a Pompeo – and this is the scenario that Kiev is counting on the most.
Which of the above options will ultimately be implemented depends on the future president. Wadym Prystajko – former Minister of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine in 2019-2020 – claims that Volodymyr Zelensky should do everything to impose its own perspective on the new administration, especially when Donald Trump is busy with other matters before the start of his second term.
The war is getting closer to the end? “One fifth of the soldiers left their positions”
In the opinion of “The Economist”, the scenario of leaving Ukraine to itself is currently possible unlikelybecause the Republican doesn't want to be seen as author of Kiev's defeat in the war with Moscow. As a businessman, he would offer help, but in exchange for some benefits in the future – for example, the possibility of using Ukrainian natural resources. Liberal values would play no role here.
There is no doubt, however, that Donald Trump's goal is for his draft peace agreement to be ready even before taking power January 20, 2025. Russia's position remains a problem after Tuesday's election victory, it is sending conflicting signalsregarding readiness to talk about ending the conflict.
The British newspaper reports that the authorities in Kiev are counting on quick action because there are serious internal tensions in the country and the public is losing trust in the army and the government. “They are trying replace losses on the battlefield with conscriptionbut they cannot cope with it – so far they have managed to achieve only two thirds of the assumed goal,” we read.
“A high-ranking Ukrainian military commander admits that there has been a breakdown in the morale of the military serving on the worst sections of the front. A source in the general staff suggests that almost one-fifth of the soldiers left their positions” – writes “The Economist” and adds that the current stocks of American weapons they do not indicate however, for Ukrainian soldiers to start desert en masse.
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