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Ukraine. Threat of Russia’s attack on Ukraine from Belarus. Reserve Lieutenant Commander Maksymilian Dura comments

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An offensive from Belarus towards Ukraine by Russian troops is still possible, because Russia does not act rationally, Lieutenant Commander Maksymilian Dura, an expert of the Defence24 portal, said on TVN24. He assessed that “when it comes to the Belarusian army, we can be more calm here.” He argued that “this is a smaller society than Russia, there the military losses will be much more felt”, and then Alyaksandr Lukashenka “will have mothers, wives of those people who will die against him.” “And they will undoubtedly die,” he added.

In recent days, Russian forces have been carrying out an operation with increased strength in the area of ​​Bakhmut in the Donetsk region (Donbass) on the east Ukraine. Their aim is to capture the city, which they consider to be crucial for the future attack, which, according to Moscow, would allow them to occupy the remaining part of the Donetsk oblast.

>> Why are the Russians fighting so hard for Bakhmut? White House source on the purpose of the creator of the Wagner group

Latest satellite imagery showing BakhmutReuters

Reserve Lieutenant Commander Maksymilian Dura, an expert of the Defence24 portal, said on TVN24 that even if Bakhmut fell, it “does not rule out” the chances for the Ukrainian defense of Luhansk and Donetsk.

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Dura on the actions at the front: Ukrainians have a lot to say

– We are talking about only one city, but in fact the situation on the entire front counts and here I think that the Ukrainians still have a lot to say. The more so that they have forces that have been in readiness practically since the liberation of Kherson. This is not the case with the Russians, who send whatever soldiers they have to the front line to win and conquer some territory, he said.

He pointed out that “the troops that are on the offensive, and these are the Russian troops at the moment, suffer heavy losses.” “In the case of Russians, it’s 500, 700 people a day, that’s a lot,” Dura commented.

Reserve Lieutenant Commander Maksymilian Dura on the situation in Bakhmut and a possible attack from Belarus

Reserve Lieutenant Commander Maksymilian Dura on the situation in Bakhmut and a possible attack from BelarusTVN24

Dura on Lukashenko: I don’t know if he will take such a risk

The TVN24 guest also referred to a possible one attacks on Ukraine by Belarus. Recently, information has been coming in about the transfer of more Russian soldiers to the territory of this country. Moreover Minsk and Moscow are strengthening the joint grouping of troops in Belarus and are preparing for joint air force exercises.

– This whole mobilization, which at the moment was announced by Belarus this is not mobilization, this is the call and update of the mobilization forces. So this mobilization can happen, but it hasn’t happened yet, which is very important – explained Dura.

– The second thing is that so far we are talking about the operation of Russian troops. An offensive from Belarus towards Ukraine by Russian troops is still possible because Russia is not acting rationally. Although the chances of success are slim, they can still strike, the expert continued.

Soldiers at the airport in BelarusFacebook/Ministry of Defense of Belarus

– However, when it comes to the Belarusian army, here we can be more calm, because I do not know whether [Alaksandr – przyp. red.] Lukashenka will decide to take such a risk in order to expose the Belarusian society to the losses of its people. This is a smaller society than Russia, there the military losses will be felt much more than in the Russian Federation, therefore Lukashenko will then have mothers, wives of those people who will die against him, he argued. “And they will undoubtedly die,” he added.

“Belarusian attack – no, Russian attack – possible”

As Commander Dura said, commenting on the risk of hostilities in northern Ukraine, “a Belarusian attack – no, a Russian attack – possible”. – Everything is possible. But the Ukrainians are ready for it. They’ve mined the roads, they’ve mined the bridges, they’ve prepared so that they’re just waiting. And this is really a better army than February 24, 2022 – he emphasized, referring to the start date of the Russian invasion of Ukraine.

Main photo source: Facebook/Ministry of Defense of Belarus



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