Ukraine. War Research Institute: Russian offensive failed

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Russian offensive operations in the area of ​​Avdiivka near Bakhmut were unsuccessful, says the American Institute for War Studies (ISW) in its latest analysis. The fight for the city, called by analysts the “gateway to Donetsk”, continues. Ukrainian experts indicate the occupiers’ goals.

According to American military analysts from the War Research Institute, the Kremlin authorities are trying to present their offensive actions around Avdiivka near Bakhmuk as a capture of the operational initiative in Ukraine – said the War Research Institute in its Friday analysis.

Conflicting reports

Russian sources claimed that their country’s military continued to attack areas north and south of Avdiivka, and geolocation photos, published on October 12 and 13, are believed to be evidence that Russian forces had moved south of Krasnohorivka (five kilometers north of Avdiivka ) and southeast of the town of Pervomajske (11 km southwest of the city) – writes ISW.

Russian sources also published conflicting reports about Russian control over the Avdiivka coking plant, and ISW found no evidence that Russian forces controlled the plant at the time of publication, the American think tank said in its analysis.

The Ukrainian army maintains that it continues to repel Russian attacks around Avdiivka. According to military bloggers in Moscow, Ukrainian forces are using minefields to slow Russian advances towards the city.

READ: The Russians are storming the “gate” to Donetsk. The situation was “very hot”, dozens of tanks destroyed

Russian goals

According to Ukrainian military expert Roman Svitan, the Russian offensive on Avdiivka is aimed, among other things, at encircling Ukrainian forces in order to be able to “bargain” with Ukrainian leaders on the issue of freezing hostilities and stopping the offensive.

– The Russians have nothing that could oppose the advance of our army in the south – said Switan. In his opinion, the assault on Avdiivka is also intended to send a “positive signal” to the Russian society that their country’s army is making some progress.

Yuri Butusov, editor of the website censor.net, reporting on the situation on the front, believes that Avdiivka is of strategic importance for Russia because this city is the “gate” to Russian-controlled Donetsk, the main communication hub in the occupied territories.

Main photo source: Ministry of Defense of Ukraine/Facebook



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