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Wednesday, October 9, 2024

US Elections. Poll: Donald Trump Takes Lead

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According to a new study for the New York Times, 48% of respondents declare their willingness to vote for Trumpwho will probably go to the elections, and na Harris – 47 proc.

This is the same result as in a similar poll from July 24, just after President Joe Biden withdrew from the election, although since then most polls Harris has maintained a lead of several points in recent weeks.

US Elections: Trump Leads in Latest Poll

As the daily emphasizes, analyzing the results, as many as 28 percent of respondents declare that they still need to learn more about Harris (in the case of Trump, it is 9 percent), which indicates possible changes and highlights the importance of the upcoming election debate between the candidates.

The only TV show planned so far the duel will take place on September 10th in Philadelphia and is organized by ABC television.

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The results also suggest that Harris is seen as a more ideologically extreme candidate (47 percent see her as “too liberal,” while 34 percent see Trump as “too conservative”) and offers voters less hope for change.

The problem for the vice president is also small advantage among Latino votersthough she gained against Biden among women and the youngest voters.

US Presidential Elections: Harris and Trump Uncertain Positions

Another study published on Sunday by YouGov for CBS shows an extremely equal candidate ratings in three key “rust belt” states: Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin.

W Wisconsin Harris leads by 2 percentage points in Michigan – one, and Pennsylvania is tied. Winning all three would likely give Harris enough electoral votes to win the election.

Despite the NYT's lead in the nationwide poll, the average of all surveys calculated by the same daily gives Harris still 2 percentage points ahead of Trump in terms of the entire country.

By the same average, the vice president leads or ties with the former president in all seven key battleground states, but her lead is within the margin of error.

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