Head of the Ukrainian Foreign Intelligence Service (Service independent of the Main Intelligence Board of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine – Hur, reporting directly to the President of Zelanski) also referred to Russia's military exercises planned for September in Belarus – Zapad 2025.
Zapad 2025. “Occupation of Latvia and Lithuania” in the exercise scenario
Belarusian opposition media unofficially reported that among the scenarios there will be, among others “Occupation of Latvia and Lithuania” and “Transport to Kaliningrad without entering Poland”. Several thousand military will take part in the exercises.
– We have all the necessary information about these exercises. Russia has already sent about 40 invitations to military representatives of other countries. They want to make an international action out of it – said Iwaszczenko confirming that an “episode of confrontation between state coalitions” will be played.
The head of the intelligence emphasized that for years joint exercises of Russia and Belarus have focused on the potential topic of building control over control “Suwałki Corridor”. In the event that Moscow recognizes that Kaliningrad is threatened or Russian troops would suppress a “colorful revolution” in Belarus, this would mean “a direct threat to the Baltic countries.”
Russia is preparing for a potential attack. Kyiv: We are a 200 Europe shield
Iwaszchenko also referred to the words of the head of the German Federal Intelligence Service Bruno Kahl, who indicated that The potential attack of Russia on Europe directly depends on how quickly the war in Ukraine will end. In the event of Kiev's defeat, Russia may return to full combat efficiency faster than expected.
– Mr. Kahl said honestly: Ukraine is not only a country that is fighting for herself. We are a European shield. And while we stop this invasion, other countries have time to prepare – confirmed Iwaszenko.
According to the expert, the plans of Vladimir Putin remain unchanged: he wants full control over Ukraine. If he implements his plan, it will be a matter of time, “who will be next”. – Poland, the Baltic States and North Europe are at risk. Our analysts no longer ask if Russia will dare to attack other countries. The questions sound different. When and where? he added.
– According to our forecasts, which are shared by our European colleagues, after the end of the war Russia needs two to four years to rebuildsbattle. If the sanctions are lifted, the arms process will run much faster – said Iwaszecnkko, clarifying that until the end of the decade Russia will be “technically ready for new aggression – for Europe”.
Germany is in full readiness. “Highest priority”
Iwaszczenki's announcements are overlapped with the recent Bundeswehr movements. According to the documents that Reuters reachedgeneral inspector of the German army Carsten Breuer He ordered the full supply of army with weapons and other materials by 2029. It was considered to be the highest priority to strengthen the possibilities “in anti -aircraft defense”.
Germany is also planning to buy combat drones and various types of ammunitions.
Head of the Ministry of Defense Ministry Boris Pistorius He has warned in recent months that Germany must be “ready for war” by 2029. In turn, the Vice -President of the CDU/CSU Parliamentary Club claims that The attack may occur even earlier. Putin is to realize that Europe does not have full ability to repel the Russian attack.