Russian forces are preparing for a breakthrough in the war with Ukraine. Mobilization to the army and personnel changes in the command prove the likelihood of another broad offensive in February or March, Oleksiy Danilov, the secretary of the National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine, assessed on Monday.
According to Danilov, the enemy “has already used (the forces of Chechen troops – ed.) Ramzan Kadyrov and the Wagner Group, and now it’s time for the (regular – ed.) Russian army.” This is the last call for them. There will no longer be anyone to name and blame for the disasters they will suffer on our soil, said the head of the NSDC, quoted by the Interfax-Ukraine agency.
He judged that the enemy was preparing for a spurt in the war. He added that another attack, similar to the one on February 24, 2022, could take place, for example, on the anniversary of the invasion or in March. – Mobilization (vv Russia – ed.), which has not been stopped at all, is a challenge for us. We must prepare for their attempted invasion, declared Danilov.
Changes in the leadership of the Russian army attack scenarios
On January 11, independent Russian media announced that General Valery Gerasimov, the chief of the general staff of the Russian armed forces, had been appointed the new commander-in-chief of the invasion force, replacing General Sergei Surovikin. According to many analysts, experts from the US Institute of War Studies (ISW), this change shows conviction Vladimir Putin and his entourage that the war with Ukraine will last a long time, and another large-scale offensive is expected in the coming months/
In December last year, the commander-in-chief of the Ukrainian armed forces, General Valery Zaluzhny, expressed the assumption that the enemy “somewhere beyond the Urals” is preparing new troops of 200,000. troops to attack a neighboring country again. According to Załużny, such an offensive would most likely take place between January and March. As the commander predicted, a new stage of the war could begin in Donbassbut an attack towards Kiev, from the side, cannot be ruled out Belarusand even storming the southern section of the front.
Main photo source: RUSSIAN DEFENSE MINISTRY PRESS SERVICE/PAP/EPA