Weather for 5 days. Mediterranean than rainfall and storms. How much rain will fall

The next day, Poland will be within the multicentral, extensive low pressure system of Friedemann from Scandinavia. A system of atmospheric fronts (combinations of a warm and cool front) will leave him, which will bring much cooler air from the north of Europe to Poland.

The heat of tropical air originating on Poland on Poland will be gradually moved to the east. On Saturday, it will flow only over the eastern ends of Poland, hence the forecast maximum temperature for Rzeszów It's about 30 degrees Celsius. However, the west of the country will be within the range of cool and humid polar air from the Atlantic with a temperature oscillating around 22-24 degrees C. Both masses of air will be separated by the zone of the cool atmospheric front, which will form further secondary lowland centers, contributing to the formation of strongly hydrated waves on the front.

This situation would not be particularly unique for the area of ​​our country, taking into account the time of year. Quite a specific distribution of the pressure field, both at the earth's surface and in the higher layers of the atmosphere and the record high temperature of the Mediterranean water allow this “weather system” a slightly higher rank.

The extensive and stable high from the Atlantic is a kind of blockade for Western circulation, which allows the influx of much cooler air masses from the north, initially polar, then also temporarily arctic origin. The bay of the Upper Lowland goes far through Central Europe to the northern part of the Apennine Peninsula, where in contact with the warm and moist waters of the Mediterranean, it creates favorable conditions for cyclogenesis. The lowlands in this area are characterized by very high moisture and they often often carry the risk of extreme rainfall, whose zones then move towards Eastern Europe, with their exact trail may differ.

So what awaits us in the following days? You can safely talk about the weather breakdown, which will last almost until the end of the week. Every day, heavy cloud cover and rainfall are forecasted, in places. They may also appear stormsespecially in the east and south, during which heavy rain will fall.

On Monday and Tuesday, the sum of rainfall will oscillate around 5-10 liters per square meter, locally 20 l/sq m. A much more dangerous scenario is drawn on Wednesday and Thursday, when one of the Mediterranean lowlands will be “blocked” by a high pressure system from Russia. This will result in long -term, large -scale, continuous rainfall in the eastern half of the country. Current calculations of numerical models indicate that from the night from Tuesday to Wednesday to Saturday, 100 l/sq m may fall, locally above 150 l/sq m. Such sums would be twice the average rainfall for July.

It should be noted here that the forecast of the movement of Mediterranean lowlands is always burdened with a big mistake, especially in forecasts above 2-3 days, as we are dealing with in this case. In addition, the analysis of the current hydrological situation indicates that definitely most rivers are in the low water zone, extremely low in places, which significantly increases the retention capabilities of watercourses.

IN Monday It will initially be cloudy with clearings and dissolution. In addition, poor, temporarily moderate rainfall will appear locally. In the late afternoon hours in the south-eastern region of Poland, numerous storms with heavy rainfall and a very strong, gusty wind are expected. During discharges, 20-40 l/sq m may fall, and the gusts reach 70-90 kilometers per hour, locally over 100 km/h. Poor storms are possible locally in western Poland.

Tuesday It will bring large and complete cloudiness with clearings and dissolves as well as brief rainfall. There is a risk of individual storms. In the afternoon/evening in the south-eastern part of the country of discharge can be strong. Phenomena may be accompanied by heavy rainfall and gusty wind.

Wednesday It promises to be cloudy with moderate, temporarily intense, continuous rainfall. Locally it may sound. Only in the West will there be a big cloudiness with fleeting rainfall.

IN Thursday It will be cloudy in the east and in the center of the country. In addition, moderate, temporarily intense, continuous rainfall is expected. Storms will appear locally. Only in the West is heavy cloudiness with fleeting rainfall.

Friday It will be marked by cloudy aura with clearings and showers.