Hurricane Kirk is heading our way. It will cause a lot of disruption to the weather

The time has come for the development of strong moderate cyclones in the summer-warmed Atlantic surface waters. Great low-pressure whirlpools carrying the storm will penetrate deep into Europe. Former tropical cyclones will also appear between them.

– Many of them, reaching the vicinity of North America, can bounce off, move towards the north-east and, already in moderate latitudes, follow the western circulation towards Europe. One of these former tropical cyclones, currently Hurricane Kirk, turned towards us. On Monday, it will be over the Ocean, halfway to Europe, said tvnmeteo.pl forecaster Arleta Unton-Pyziołek on Sunday morning.

This vortex, as ex-Kirk, will cross the Atlantic over waters that are already colder than those in the intertropical zone, so its strength will be lower. However, as a still significant cyclone, carrying a storm, i.e. causing high waves and strong winds, it is expected to reach western Europe on Wednesday.

– It will first hit Portugal, Spain and France, and on Thursday it will move towards northern Germany and Poland. On the night from Thursday to Friday, it will move towards Scandinavia. It will touch the Balyk Sea and Poland, causing strong wind gusts in the west and north of the country from Thursday – said Unton-Pyziołek.

The wind is expected to reach speeds of up to 80-90 kilometers per hour, but gusts above 100 kilometers per hour are possible near the sea. A storm is possible in the Baltic Sea. Kirk will also bring a foehn wind. High in the Karkonosze Mountains and Tatra Mountains Wind gusts exceeding 100 kilometers per hour are possible.

– Due to the great potential of such an air vortex, we will experience a strong exchange of air masses in a short time. First, on Wednesday and Thursday, it is expected to draw in warm air masses from southern Europe, allowing the temperature in Poland to rise above 20 degrees in some places. However, on Friday, cold air masses will push in from the North Atlantic, so the temperature will drop well below 20 degrees – said the forecaster.

Kirk, unfortunately, will cause a lot of confusion in air circulation and will temporarily stop the flow of heat to Poland, which was clearly visible in the GFS model calculations just a few days ago. When the cyclone finally moves away from Poland and moves towards the Arctic, a high pressure will develop over Central Europe. This will happen around Sunday, October 13.

– Thus, heat will slowly return to our region of the continent in the middle of the month. However, it remains an open question how much the temperature will increase. Based on today's materials, it may reach 18-20 degrees around October 16, and there is no trace of a temperature of 25 degrees, said Unton-Pyziołek.