“Profession. Compassion. Sympaty” – it's about Rafał Trzaskowski. “He doesn't want to answer the questions specifically” – it's about Karol Nawrocki. We reached secret analyzes that commissioned the bars of both candidates after the debate in Końskie. The results are surprising and are not good news for any of the candidates.
We are just entering the sharpest, most brutal and most important phase of the campaign. In the latest episode of “Political Podcast” Arleta Zalewska and Konrad Piasecki reveal the results of these tests and analyze the poll lesions of three leading candidates.
This is the first Donald Tusk's entryin which he relates directly to each of the candidates of the government coalition: “The last political attention before Christmas. The higher the rafał, Szymon and Magda's quotations, the better for Poland. So let's keep our fingers crossed for them. It will be good!” This comment sounds particularly interesting in the context of another message, which unofficially sent us a few hours earlier an important politician from the Prime Minister's surroundings: “Even I am starting to worry about losing Rafał.”
A decrease in enthusiasm among the politicians of the Citizens' Coalition results from falling support Rafał Trzaskowski In almost each of the last polls. Is this the result of a poor form of the candidate during the debate in Końskie? Yes. Or the only one? NO.
In recent weeks, the list of candidates has extended to thirteen, hence the support is distributed to the “smaller” ones and this also affects the decrease in support from Rafał Trzaskowski. However, this does not change the fact that the prime minister is aware that as important as the support obtained in the first round by his candidate, there are voices for the other two. – The boss takes the initiative, he will pump the tribute and Biejat – says the politician KO.
What does this mean in practice? We hear that before the first round Donald Tusk He will alleviate the tension between the coalition candidates, positioning himself as an arbitrator. There is no doubt that in the second round he needs Trzaskowski to dream of the third road and the left to dream of the presidential palace. Karol Nawrocki He counts primarily on the voices of Sławomir Mentzen, Grzegorz Braun and Marek Jakubiak, and a possible fraction of the votes cast on Szymon Hołownia.
From April 24, the “political podcast” will be available in Tvn24+. New episode every week
Secret analyzes of Rafał Trzaskowski's staff
Trzaskowski's staffs commissioned a special study to find out how their candidate was received after the debate in Końskie. The idea was to see if his behavior was emotional, nervous or mastered. But also what emotions he evoked among viewers and whether his performance affected the change in election sympathy. The authors of the “Political Podcast” learned the details of this study. These are the results of the survey for two key questions:
Has your rating of Rafał Trzaskowski changed after the debate in Końskie?
33% – yes, for worse 43% – no, remained without 24% – yes, for the better.
What emotions did Trzaskowski arouse after his performance? (Most often marked emotions)
Profession – 43% compassion – 31% sympathy – 28%
This is a material for analysis for staffers not only before the next debate, but before subsequent interviews and election rallies – the closest on Tuesday in Czeladz, and then in Częstochowa.
These results first show that the expectations of Rafał Trzaskowski and his participation in the debate were high. The candidate did not meet these expectations and even if voters do not assess him badly, he did not show his strength and did not convince them. “I was weak, I expected a specific thing, and there was pitu -pitu” – this is a quote from one of the respondents. Another is: “He didn't convince me more, but at least he didn't lose the class.” That is why, as we hear unofficially from Trzaskowski's advisers, they want to forget about this debate and after Christmas they go on tour with a new message.
“Less wooden than I thought”
Staff PiS He ordered the creation of a discussion panel, with very precisely selected participants, who watched both debates in Końskie and commented on them on a regular basis. They are mainly undecided voters, with a very specific worldview profile. Karol Nawrocki will fight for their voices, especially in the second round, which is why their opinion is so valuable for the staff. We reached the notes that were created on the basis of these opinions about each of the candidates. These are comments and comments about five candidates. We chose some of the most interesting.
About Rafale Trzaskowski:
– He couldn't react to how he gave him the flag. He behaved like Komorowski. This is not such a force as Tusk. – He presents himself as European and emphasizes that he has an advantage over others, especially on the PiS candidate – tired and discouraged, he tries to answer questions, he is attacked by everyone, because he represents power – he replied well to the question about international experience, you can see that someone has prepared him for this debate, but these are the formulas learned
About Karol Nawrocki:
– He tried to present like a president. He strongly gestures, uses sublime words and addresses people: “Ladies and Gentlemen” – you can see that he is pregnant to PiS. He is little known and you can see that others are trying to present him as a PiS – he does not want to answer the questions specifically, instead he refers to what he wants to say, they probably told him to do so – he is less wooden than I thought, but it can be seen that Hołownia and Stanowski are more developed on television
About Szymon Hołownia:
– You can see that he has extensive experience on television, “Sejmflix” returned in his performance. However, he must face the fact that he is also responsible for the government now – I was surprised that he attacked Trzaskowski, maybe he wants to pick up his voices and cut off from Tusk, I was surprised that he said to Trzaskowski Deputy Tusk, so PiS -officials say about him – the questions about the number of corvettes or these presidents were very extraordinary. You can see that he wrote it himself on a piece of paper and went out to the buffer. Probably if someone asked him this type of question, he would not be able to answer
About Magdalena Biejat:
– I only remember her from the action with the flag. You can see that she cares about the voices of these environments – she was cut off from the government. The question asked to Trzaskowski caused him a serious problem, especially since it concerned health protection
About Krzysztof Stanowski:
– he tried to ridicule everyone – his goal is to compromise the entire political class
These are illustrations of specific candidates, but – what is important – created on the basis of only a group of selected voters, commissioned by the staff of Karol Nawrocki. However, these are comments that are valuable information for the staff – not only about their candidate, but also about his competitors. They show their strong and weak pages, as the staff of Nawrocki, as we hear, plans to use in the elections criticizing their materials.
We wish you a healthy and peaceful Christmas
It will not be holidays without politics, but without politicians. Most of the candidates after publishing Easter wishes, i.e. simply election spots, plan to spend this time without campaign activities. However, this will be a time when all that has happened over the last days will be discussed at the holiday breakfast.
Do you have a question to the authors of the political podcast? Would you like us to answer them in the next episodes? Comment on our podcast on social media and enter questions. We will answer.
Source of the main photo: PAP/Adam Kumorowicz