As many as 99.2 chances of winning in presidential elections Donald Trump has according to Polymarket valuation With hours 7 a.m Polish time. Kamala Harris is only at 0.8%. chances. An hour earlier, Polymarket gave the Democratic candidate 3.5 percent. Trump's chances, on the other hand, are increasing by the minute.
Polymarket is almost certain of Donald Trump's victory
Polymarket is a platform where users can trade tokens that represent possible outcomes of events – including the US election. The total value of tokens related to the election is almost PLN 3.5 billion dollars. Most of them, about $1.4 billion, concern Donald Trump. Kamala Harris tokens are $985 million.
The odds of Kamala Harris and Donald Trump have been around 40:60 since August. Sometimes the Republican candidate had a better chance, and sometimes the Democratic candidate had a better chance. However, in October the situation stabilized and Trump took the lead. Until yesterday, it remained within the 40:60 range, but on Wednesday, when the first results started coming in, Trump's chances suddenly increased.
Donald Trump is getting closer to winning the presidential election
Voting in the US has already ended, after polling stations in Hawaii closed at 7 a.m. Polish time. However, the vote counting is still ongoing. There are many indications that Donald Trump will return to the White House. At the moment, we know the results from three out of seven swing states, and the Republican candidate won all of them. Just after 7 a.m. Polish time, we learned that Trump wins the state of Pennsylvania, thanks to which he gains 19 electoral votes, according to the forecast. Therefore, he can count on at least 265 electoral votes. It takes 270 votes to win the election.
Pennsylvania is the most important of the so-called swing states that decide the outcome of the election. So far, it has been confirmed that Donald Trump also won two more such states – North Carolina and Georgia.