War in Ukraine. Putin implements a clever plan to the Americans

At the same time, all parties agreed to the necessity of immediate continuation of technical consultations in order to develop mechanisms for implementing, monitoring and controlling the obligations.

War in Ukraine. Putin implements his plan to Trump

Who is the biggest winning of the three -day negotiating session in Saudi Arabia? It is difficult to indicate a different answer here than: Russia. For several reasons.

First of all, the suspension of weapons in the Black Sea does not violate the vital interests of the Kremlin, but creates the illusion of cooperation in work on the permanent end of the war. The domination of Russia over Ukraine in the Mediterranean was and is indisputable. The key goals of Vladimir Putin are to be achieved on land. This Pushing Ukraine from the Kurski District and the end of Kiev's offensive in this regionobtaining as full control over the Craperson, Donetsk, Lugansk and Zaporoski districts, and finally continuing the offensive to the west of Ukraine towards Kiev. Neither stop attacks on energy infrastructure or the end of the fighting in the Black Sea forced Russia to give up what she really cares about in this war.

Putin wants to isolate the United States and has very significant achievements in this field – because of Russia, Americans conflict with Europe, deter their allies in the Pacific Basin, blackmailing Ukraine for their own benefits. Within two months, America ceased to be credible to the world as an ally. This is the great victory of Russia and Putin.

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Secondly, the relatively silent and extremely important success of Russia is the American help in returning this country to the global market of exports of agricultural products and fertilizers. In both of these areas, Russia was one of the most important global players before the war. The possibility of re -drawing full profits in this respect would be an important financial injection for the bleeding Russian economy, a valuable strengthening of the Kremlin's war machine, but above all the beginning of Russia's return to global salons after three -year banishment. And this is a triumphal return, because from A to with organized by the United States.

Thirdly, Russia is constantly buying the time needed for the most powerful tilting of the war in its favor. On the one hand, he participates in peace conversations with Americans and Ukrainians, on the other – he intensifies bombing, artillery fire and drone attacks. At the same time, he does not make any really key licenses for its part. The expectations of such licenses towards the Kremlin are also not reported by the Americans (in Ukraine, their approach was radically different).

A very important thing in an interview with the National Information Agency TASS said after talks with the Americans, the head of the international affairs committee of the Council of the Russian Federation. – Negotiations between Russia and the United States will continue with the participation of the international community, including the UN and individual countries – assessed by Grigory Karasin.

The mention of the UN is especially noteworthy. Involving in UN peace negotiations would be a great success of the Kremlin. Once, that it is an organization dominated by three great powers: the United States, China and Russia (at the moment Americans and Chinese, although to varying degrees, are conducive to the realization of Russian interests in the war against Ukraine). Two, that this adding another variable to a peaceful equation that Donald Trump tries to solve so desperately. New link, a new discussion body – even one in which Russia has a significant advantage over Ukraine – it is an extension of the road to reaching a lasting roomand ensuring another chance to gain a satisfactory advantage on the front.

Fourth, Putin, more and more, Trump's wicker more and more. It allows him to shine in the media, introduce himself as a great conciliator, give a sense of agency. At the same time, he does not pay any price for it, and Trump invests politically more and more in the vision of the soon ending of the war every day. He invests the most strongly, providing the world with his trust in Russia's intentions and personal trust in Putin. The more American administration in this way invest in a Russian bear, the more difficult it will be to withdraw from it later, when (because not if) it turns out what the Kremlin's intentions really were and are.