Supported by PIS Presidential candidate Karol Nawrocki is considered “attractive to young people” and willingly emphasizes how he is athletic-reports in the newspaper “Welt am Sonntag” her Warsaw correspondent Philipp Fritz. reminds that 41-year-old Nawrocki was actually a footballer and a boxer.
“Pumps or other evidence of force made in public are not rare in the case of Nawrocki. In the speeding hot phase of the election campaign, Poles will probably watch more such scenes, because it is unlikely that Nawrocki will change their image” – adds a German journalist.
It is too early to celebrate success
In his opinion, however, Nawrocki's “sports show” has not gripped so far. According to Radio ZET survey, only 24 percent Voters want to vote for him. His main rival, president of Warsaw Rafał Trzaskowski from KO, has eight percentage points.
“Welt am Sonntag” quotes political scientist Stefan Garsztecki from the Technical University of Chemnitz, who warns that the result presidential elections It is not a foregone conclusion in Poland. In his opinion “Duda's script” is possible. In 2015, the current president Andrzej Duda He was unexpectedly issued by PiS as a presidential candidate. The 43-year-old politician at that time faced the then President Bronisław Komorowski, who was “a certain victory and finally lost to Duda.”
Writing Nawrocki on losses would be premature, because “Duda's script” shows how voices can move in the second round, we read. “It is not clear who voters of smaller parties will vote for. But the supporters of Sławomir Mentzen, the leader of the far -right confederation, will rather go to the Nawrocki camp rather than vote for the Liberal Trzaskowski,” writes “Welt am Sonntag”. And he adds that it is also not certain how conservative voters Szymon Hołownia, as well as the leftist candidate Magdalena Biejat, behave. Political scientist Stefan Garsztecki estimates that “the ruling camp made a mistake by issuing three candidates.”
The situation in Poland will affect Europe
“For Trzaskowski's defeat would be a serious blow to the government of Prime Minister Donald Tusk. President Nawrocki, like Duda now, would probably conduct a consistent lock policy against the government,” writes Philipp Fritz. As the publicist indicates, the fact that Tusk has his hands in internal policy is already negatively affected by polls.
“It also comes to mind questionlike a government, which is practically paralyzed in internal policy, is capable of acting in matters of foreign policy. Poland is considered a key European country is one of the last bikes of economic growth in the European Union And spends over 4 percent of GDP for defense. This is a record in NATO. Located on the eastern flank of the alliance, she is irreplaceable when it comes to the support of Ukraine. Currently, Warsaw is chairmanship in the EU Council. The stable situation in Poland is also in the interest of Europe, “emphasizes Philipp Fritz.
The specter of early elections
The head of the Warsaw Office of the European Council of Foreign Relations (ECFR) Piotr Buras assesses in an interview with “Welt am Sonntag” that the “fate of Tusk's political project” depends on the result of the presidential election in Poland. He predicts that the possible defeat of Rafał Trzaskowski will cause a crisis of the ruling coalition and the early parliamentary elections may occur, after which PiS could return to power.
“Rarely the rate of presidential elections in Poland was so high for the largest political camps,” says journalist “Welt am Sonntag”.
The article comes from the website Deutsche Welle