AFD obtained 152 seats, a the left 64which gives a total of 216 places in a 630-person parliament.
Such a number of seats allows these parties to block the proposals of constitutional changes togetherwhich require a majority of two -thirds.
Elections in Germany. A government depending on AFD and Die Linke
This means that Without their consent, for example, it will be difficult to alleviate the principles of fiscal policy whether to increase the state's debt. In turn may make it difficult to increase military assistance for Ukrainian – Both AFD and Die Linke oppose its continuation.
Current regulations limit the budget deficit German up to 0.35 percent GDPwhich further complicates the possibility of increasing defense expenditure without violating the constitution.
After winning the election, the block CDU/CSU under the leadership of Friedrich Merza he won 208 seats. Merz plans to create a majority government, probably in a coalition with SPDwhich would give together 328 seatswith the required majority of 316 places. However, the presence of a strong opposition in the form of AfD and Die Linke It may hinder the implementation of key reformsespecially those requiring constitutional changes.
– failure to increase defense expenditure He can get Germany into serious trouble In relations with her partners with NATO – warns Holger Schmieding, Bank Berenberg chief economist in an interview with Rzeczpospolita.
The economist also notes that the dissatisfaction of the administration Donald Trump (which wants expenditure growth from the countries of the alliance to this purpose to 4-5 percent of GDP.) Maybe increase the risk of the outbreak of the trade war between the USA and European Union.
Elections in Germany. The effect of the political crisis
Early elections in Germany were announced after Bundestag did not give the vote of confidence to the Chancellor Olaf Scholz. As a result, the president Frank-Walter Steinmeier He dissolved the parliament and ordered new elections on February 23, 2025.
High election attendance and significant support for the party with extreme views indicate growing tensions and polarization in German society.