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Tuesday, July 2, 2024

France. Parliamentary elections – exit poll results

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The National Rally won 34 percent of the vote in the first round of the French parliamentary elections, according to exit polls. The left-wing Popular Front came second, with 29 percent. President Emmanuel Macron's camp rounded out the podium, with Together for the Republic winning between 20.5 and 23 percent of the vote.

As the study results indicate exit pollin the first round of Sunday's pre-terms elections parliamentary ve France The far-right National Rally won 34 percent of the vote.

The second result was achieved by the radical left Popular Front – 29 percent. votes. Together for the Republic, i.e. the coalition of the centrist Rebirth party of incumbent President Emmanuel Macron and its allies, closed the podium with a result between 20.5 and 23 percent. votes.

In estimates for BFMTV, the Elabe research center reported that the National Rally could win between 260 and 310 seats in parliament after the second round. According to Elabe, the Popular Front could count on 115-145 seats. According to these poll results, Macron's political camp won around 90-120 seats.

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The Ipsos center predicts that the National Union will gain 230-280 seats in parliament, the Popular Front between 125 and 165, and Together for the Republic from 41 to 61.

The daily “Le Monde” emphasizes that projections of the number of seats after the first round should be treated with caution. The second round will take place on July 7.

The turnout was 69.7 percent. In the previous parliamentary elections in 2022, it was 47.7%.

What's next?

The National Assembly in France has 577 seats, one from each electoral district. A party needs 289 seats to obtain an absolute majority. The seat is won by the candidate who obtains a majority of votes in the first round of voting (50 percent plus 1) with a turnout of 25 percent.

These may be the most important elections in Europe. What you need to know

However, voting usually ends in a second round. In the runoff, which often involves two candidates and sometimes three or four, only those who receive more than 12.5 percent of the votes of registered voters in the first round can run. Some candidates may withdraw to give allies a better chance of winning.

What is the role of Parliament and the President?

The National Assembly is responsible for enacting national law – since pensions and taxes to immigration and education, while the president determines the country's foreign, European and defense policy.

When the president and the majority in parliament belong to the same party, everything goes well. If not, the government may reach an impasse. In the face of less and less favorable people polls for Macron's party, the French president, who has three years left in his term, may be forced to appoint a prime minister from the opposition party – writes CNN. Nevertheless, Macron promised to last until the end of his presidential term.

Members of the government are appointed by the president at the request of the prime minister. Although in theory Macron could appoint anyone he wants as minister, in practice he will be forced to appoint people who reflect the will of the majority of the National Assembly.

Main image source: PAP/EPA/LAURENT GILLIERON



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