The past year brought destructive hurricanes and storms in the North Atlantic region. Noted 18 tropical stormsfrom which 11 reached strengthhurricane. Five of them were so strong that they were marked with a category from 3 to 5 on the Saffir-Thompson scale, i.e. carried winds with a speed exceeding 177 km/h. According to experts This season, a repeat may be waiting for us.
“Serious problem” also this season
The effects of climate change can be seen all over the world, and in this part of the Atlantic particularly clearly, thanks to increasingly numerous destructive storms. In the previous season there were clearly more of them than the average, which is 12 storms, about 6 hurricanes and less than three strongest hurricanes.
Meteorologists from AccuWeather have prepared a preliminary forecast for the new hurricane season in the North Atlantic. It shows that The situation may be very similar to that of 2024and destructive elements can be the same.
As the main specialist in hurricanes from AccuWeather said, Alex Dasilva“the rapid intensification of the storms will probably be a serious problem again this year.”
The expert expects that this part of the Atlantic will experience in the next season from 13 to 18 strong stormswhich can potentially strengthen to hurricanes and reach the land.
It is possible that the hurricanes will be from 7 to 10and 3 to 5 of them can reach the third or higher category. Three to six of these elements can hit the American coast. Dasilva points out that there are 20 percent. A chance that strong storms will be more than 18.
Hurricane season In this part of the world it begins on June 1. However, it cannot be ruled out that destructive elements may appear before this date.
You have to be on your guard in these places
Strong storms and hurricanes will drive inysoka water temperature in the oceans. As Dasilva emphasized, according to forecasts, it is to exceed the average “in most tanks”.
Water for most of the year is to be much warmer than the average in the region of the Gulf of Mexico and in the Caribbean. It is similar in the area of the equator in the Pacific Ocean. The phenomena of La niña and El Niño exert a significant influence in other parts of the world.
Alex Dasilva also pointed out which areas are most threatened by strong storms and hurricanes. According to the expert “, as in last year, the risk higher than the average occurs in the northern and eastern part The Gulf of Mexican and Carolina Northern i Southern“.
They are also threatened Atlantic Coast of Canada and the northernational part Caribbean. These are the same areas that experienced tropical storms and hurricanes in 2024.
If the situation from the previous season is actually repeated, the losses may be gigantic. As calculated by the German reinsurement company Munich re. Preliminary estimates of losses caused by hurricanes (in the North Atlantic) and Typhoones (in the Pacific region) in 2024 they were approximately $ 133 billion.
This is clearly more than losses in earlier years. In the previous decade, the destruction in this respect cost an average of $ 89 billion a year. In earlier 30 years, damage was estimated at an average of $ 62 billion a year.
If the situation from 2024 repeats, it is possible that the destruction will again exceed $ 100 billion.
Source: Accuweather.com, Munichre.com