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Thursday, December 26, 2024

US elections. Poll. Harris's slim advantage over Trump. You can see the problem

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We are only three days away from knowing the new name President of the United States. The battle will take place between the Democrat-backed party Kamalą Harris, and the Republican candidate and former president Donald Trump.

For now neither of them has winnings in their pocket, and the ball is still in play. The fight will go on until the last vote.

US elections. Harris's slim advantage over Trump

Emerson College Polling/RealClearWorld has released a poll showing how votes may break down in one of the key states – Have them. The fight for support there is extremely fierce, because Harris is inclined to choose 48 percent respondentswhile declaring their willingness to vote for Trump 47 percent subjects.

Two percent of voters still don't know who they will chooseand one percent will not vote for any of the candidates at all. After taking into account undecided votes, overall support for Harris increases to 49% and for Trump to 48%.

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The distribution of votes is even more interesting when we look at it in terms of the gender of the voters. Women and men are heading in opposite directions – 52 percent women support Harris, and 44 percent Trump. Among men, 43 percent choose a Democrat. men, and the Republican 52 percent.

The survey further shows that the most important issue for Nevada voters is economyand then housing affordability, immigration and threats to democracy, and education.

US elections 2024. Biden and Clinton with better results than Harris

Also nationwide, Kamala Harris triumphs over Donald Trumpbut her distance from her rival is not large enough for her to sleep peacefully. Two polls put the gap between her and Trump at 1.2 points. percent and 1 point percent There is also a poll in which the former president has a better result – by only 0.3 points. percent

“Newsweek” notes that the results of these polls “contrast sharply” with the lead that Joe Biden and Hillary Clinton hadwhen they were competing against Trump. Biden was 8.4 points away from Trump. percent, and Clinton – 6.2 points. percent, but the former first lady still lost in the Electoral College.

“As Election Day approaches (November 5 – ed.), Harris may lead in national polls, but her path to the necessary 270 Electoral College votes is uncertain. more and more difficult. Just like Clinton did in 2016. Harris can win the popular vote, but the electoral map is a challenge for her,” we read in the weekly.

The newspaper also presents other recent polls in seven swing states, according to which Trump gets 52 percent. votes. The Republican candidate can enjoy victory in states such as Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania.

“Presidents and prime ministers”: Komorowski and Miller on the US presidential elections/Polsat News/Polsat News



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