Weather in spring and summer 2025. Extremely warm can be in Poland until summer. IMGW long -term forecast for vacation

According to forecasts April throughout the country is to be warmer than usual – Medium temperature anomaly will most likely be higher than the long-term average from 1991-2020.

In eastern and partly central Poland, the sum of monthly rainfall is to form at the same level as usually. Residents The western part of the country, however, awaits the wet April with a positive rainfall anomaly.

May can bring us Positive average temperature anomaly in all regions of Poland. According to forecasts IMGWwarmer than usual aura is to be accompanied by atmospheric precipitation similar to the long -term average.

Similar conditions are to control all of Poland at the beginning of summer. Average monthly air temperature In June it will probably turn out to be higher than usual.

In terms of rainfall, June will probably not differ from the norm regardless of the region.

According to the latest forecasts July should be similarly warm – Anomalies of average monthly temperature can be positive throughout the country. In terms of rainfall, the month should not differ from the many years.

In IMGW-PIB and in other meteorological centers around the world, the average monthly temperature or sum of rainfall for a given month is forecast in relation to the so-called norm of many years. Currently, values ​​from 1991-2020 are used as a reference.

The value of the average monthly temperature or the monthly sum of rainfall from this period is sorted from the lowest to the highest. The 10 lowest values ​​determine the temperature or rainfall in the class “below normal”, 10 middle “normal”, and 10 highest – “above normal”.

In the case of the “above normal” class, we can assume that the month will be warmer or more wet than at least several dozen of the same months watched in 1991-2020. In the case of determination “below norm” the month will be cooler or dry, while “normal”, which is similar to the average 10 months from the comparative period.

IMGW experts indicated that the forecast average temperature refers to the average temperature of the whole month, listed both during the day and at night. The forecast rainfall refers to the sum of rainfall from all days a month. The forecasts are not determined by the type of precipitation (snow or rain, etc.).

IMGW explained that despite the growing computing power of supercomputers and extensive knowledge about weather processes, it is still impossible to avoid errors and differences in forecasts for such a long period in the future. Disgusions result from both the risk of sudden, often local phenomena that can disturb the forecast weather processes, such as the variety of physical assumptions used in the prognostic models, as well as mathematical and statistical equations.

Meteorologists reminded that it is impossible to describe the anticipated weather so much in advance. It should be remembered that the above forecast is approximate and its character is experimental and that it concerns the average mileage for the entire forecast region and a given prognostic period.