35 percent participants of the latest CBOS survey declare to vote for Rafał Trzaskowski in the first round of the presidential elections. 31% of people want to vote for Karol Nawrocki, supported by Law and Justice. subjects.
CBOS asked respondents who they would support in the first round of the presidential elections, which will take place on May 18. Sławomir Mentzen can count on the third best result in this ranking. 12 percent declared support for the Confederation candidate. researched by CBOS.
CBOS survey. First round of the presidential elections
Third Way's candidate was off the podium in the CBOS survey Szymon Hołownia. 6% of people declared their willingness to vote for the Speaker of the Sejm. respondents. The candidate of the New Left, Magdalena Biejat, achieved a result 3 percentage points lower than him. For Marek Jakubiak from the Wolnia group Republicans and the candidate of the Razem party, Adrian Zandberg, wants to vote 2% each. subjects. Piotr Szumlewicz and Marek Woch did not win the support of the respondents. However, 1% of people announced they would vote for another candidate. respondents, and 7 percent admitted that it is difficult for them to say who they will vote for. 1% refused to answer. participants survey.
What kind of turnout can you count on? 89% of people declared their willingness to participate in the elections. subjects. Another 5 percent admitted that they “don't know yet” whether they will go to the polls, and 6 percent announced that he would not show up at the polling station. In its declarations of support, CBOS took into account the answers of those surveyed who were determined to participate in the elections. The survey was conducted on January 7-8, 2025 on a sample of 1,000 adult residents of Poland, including 81.2%. by computer-assisted telephone interviews (CATI) and 18.8 percent using online interviews (CAWI).
Almost exactly on the same days (January 7-9) an Opinia24 survey was conducted for RMF FM. According to his results Rafał Trzaskowski would win the first round of the presidential elections with the support of 29.8 percent, for Karol Nawrocki 22.6% want to vote. subjects. Trzaskowski's result was lower compared to the previous edition of the Opinia24 study. However, it ensured victory for the mayor of Warsaw in the second round.
Main photo source: Jarek Praszkiewicz, Piotr Polak, Tomasz Wojtasik/PAP