Journalists of the Austrian newspaper “Die Presse” noticed that after Trump stopped on Monday until further notice Deliveries of American equipment military at Ukrainethere are various scenarios about how long Kyiv He could resist Moscow without help Washington.
Optimists suppose that Ukraine will be able to withstand the first anniversary of taking office by Trump, i.e.at January 2026 pessimists predict the collision of the front already At the beginning of this summer. However, most experts assess that the Ukrainian army – using the resources and help provided by other partners – will be able to defend the territory of their country by about half a year.
Ukraine without support from the USA. These supplies cannot be replaced
Portal oe24.at It predicts that the support transferred to Kiev by other countries may not be able to compensate for the help of the US offered so far. This applies in particular to shells for air defense systems Patriot. In this case, deliveries from the United States simply It is impossible to replace. This, in turn, means the appearance of the risk that gaps will appear in the air defense systemwhich the Russian army could use for attacks using ballistic missiles and maneuvering missiles. Thus, the Ukrainian energy system, arms plants and other strategically important goals will remain no necessary defense.
On the other hand, the “der Standard” newspaper pointed out that after Trump's decision, European countries will be important. As emphasized, Europa She is not able to enforce the suspension of weapons in a way that would be deterrent to Russiai.e. would prevent Moscow from further attacks on Ukraine. This, in turn, means that both the Ukrainian president Wołodymyr Zelanskias well as leaders of European countries must at all costs avoid breaking relations from the USA.
Austrian commentators have noted that though Europe could partially replace American help (e.g. partially compensate for shortcomings in anti -aircraft defense and short -range rockets), but this is not possible to the full extent. This is especially true interview and recognition.
Ukraine without support from the USA. NATO expert: The effects will be felt in spring
Ukraine will start feel Trump's decision in spring – in an interview with PAP Dr. Jamie Shea, they were high -ranking NATO headquarters clerk.
– This is regrettable decision. He deprives the meaning of Trump's administration claims about making pressure on Moscow to make concessions to the “fair and lasting peace”. Instead of bringing Moscow to the negotiating table, It will only dare Putin to escalation His military aggression – said Shea.
– one thing is not to agree to future help packages, but it is completely different stop the implementation of existing obligations military, supplies of weapons and ammunition – added a former NATO official.
– This US step is all the more unfortunate because Ukraine She was starting to counterattack effectively In the Donetsk region and recover some villages, slowing the Russian offensive and potentially strengthening their position in peaceful talks – Shea emphasized and added that Europeans will now have to look for weapons and ammunition, especially ammunition of 155 mm artillery ammunition, on international markets.
– the USA is doing it to pressure At Zelanski, to return to Washington, he apologized and thanked and signed a mineral agreement several times. And he undertook to negotiate in the matter of peace. Zelanski must now decide, Does he have to do it in the interest of his country – said the expert.
Dr. Jamie Shea was a spokesman for NATO, among others During the intervention of the Alliance in Kosovo in 1999, and in the years 2010-18 he was the deputy secretary of NATO general for new security challenges. He is currently associated with several scientific institutions, including with the University of Exeter and Think Tank Chatham House.