Who would win in the second round of presidential elections? Poll

According to opinion24, published on Tuesday, Rafał Trzaskowski would now win the second round of presidential elections with both Karol Nawrocki and Sławomir Mentzen. Gender, level of education and age are factors differentiating election preferences.

“There will probably be the second round of presidential elections, in which two candidates will meet. Who would you vote for the two in such elections?” – Such a question was asked to Poles who took part in the study. As emphasized, only those who declared that they would take part in the next presidential election answered this question.

Rafał Trzaskowski versus Sławomir Mentzen

If the president of Warsaw and Sławomir Mentzen faced in the second round of presidential elections, the first one would win. A voice for him in this configuration declared to give 50 percent. respondents, and at Sławomir Mentzen 43 percent 7 percent respondents are undecided.

Division due to gender reveals clear differences in political preferences. Trzaskowski is more often chosen by women (59 percent), while Mentzen enjoys greater support among men (52 percent).

The level of education is a clear factor differentiating election preferences – according to poll. Rafał Trzaskowski records a definite advantage among people with higher education (61 percent) and with secondary, post -secondary and unfinished education higher (55 percent).

Sławomir Mentzen records higher support among people with primary and junior high school (51 % compared to 39 percent of Trzaskowski supporters) and basic professional and medium -endless (56 percent).

Rafał Trzaskowski versus Karol Nawrocki

In this scenario, the situation is clear. 52 percent Participants of the survey carried out by the Opine24 studio at the request of Radio ZET declares that he will vote for Rafał Trzaskowski. Karol Nawrocki supports 42 percent respondents. The percentage of undecided is 6 percent.

The division of the participants of the survey due to gender reveals interesting diversity. Women are more inclined to Trzaskowski's candidacy (57 percent), while among men support for him is slightly lower (48 percent). Nawrocki can count on more even – although generally lower – support among both men (47 percent) and women (38 percent).

The youngest voters, only entering the political stage (18-24 years-57 percent), and slightly older (40-49 years-55 percent and over 60 percent-57 percent) clearly prefer Rafał Trzaskowski. In turn, Karol Nawrocki gains greater favor among voters aged 25-29 (54 percent) and in a group of 50-59 years (49 percent against 46 % wanting to vote for the KO candidate).

A survey at the request of Radio ZET shows that the largest battle for support will take place in the field of thirty -year -olds, where the differences between the candidates are minimal (Trzaskowski – 45 percent, Nawrocki – 46 %). There is also clearly distinguished by 9 % percentage of undecided.

The survey was carried out by the workshop Opinia24 on a representative sample of 1,000 Poles aged 18 and more on April 2-6, 2025. The percentage results were rounded to full values.