In mind Dr. Karola SzzulcaAmericanist from University of WrocławIf White House indeed, he will withdraw from the efforts of achieving a peace agreement between Russia i Ukraineit will be admitted to “complete failure”.
– Behind the actions USA There is no thoughtful strategy – said the expert.
Dr. Szulc He also stated that Russia “She never wanted this room.” – it was complete naivety from the side United States And those who want the war to end – he assessed.
Expert on the behavior of Trump: perceives politics in an authoritarian way
The political scientist also said that the decisions in this matter made by Donald Trump They are not related to any strategy that would allow you to achieve the final goal.
– US President He perceives politics in an authoritarian way. In his opinion, two strong men (he and Putin – ed.) He can communicate over the heads of all others. He likes dealers, although he rarely reaches them. In addition, he spoke many times Putina as a real statesman. He had the belief that he would easily get along with him. But this is not a strategy, but the perception of reality Shortthat if he says something, it will happen – he emphasized Dr. Szulc.
According to him, if someone has a lead strategy peace negotiationsthis does not mention the terms taken from nowhere that cannot be kept, and invites each of the involved pages to the conversations.
Changing tactics in Moscow. “Donald Trump stomed his foot”
The Americanist noticed that the announcement of withdrawing from the conversations between Russia i Ukraine testifies to impatience US President. – Oto Putina colleague, as he described him, does not want to play his game – he said Dr. Szulc.
– Now Trump He stomped his foot and says: If so, we will play with others now – he noted.
When asked what would happen in the coming weeks, he replied that “nothing would happen.”
Dr. Szulc expected that Russia will not change his behavior, which consists in “terrorizing the Ukrainian population and attacks on civil purposes, because he cannot cope with Ukrainians on the battlefield “.
Peace agreement in Ukraine. What are the possible scenarios?
The political scientist outlined two possible scenarios The nearest events on the line Washington–Moscow–Kyiv–Brussels. The first assumes a return Short to the American policy of the alliance with a decade UE.
He noted that on the one hand it does not have to mean support USA For Ukrainianon the other, European motivation to provide assistance Ukraine It can weaken.
In the opinion Sulca This is a negative scenario because it means freezing conflict and greater losses on the side Ukrainiansincluding victims among civilians.
– The second scenario is positive. As Europeans We have already got enough on the face from Short And we already know that we have to take matters into our own hands, not counting on less or greater support from the site USA. After all, allies in the West will understand that the room with Russia It is possible only in one way – by strength. Russians They have to lose this war, otherwise there will be no peace with them – he emphasized Dr. Szulc.