England’s Cricket World Cup hopes are hanging by a thread after a nightmare begin to their title defence in India, though time nonetheless stays for them to attempt to make an unlikely late push for the semi-finals.
The 2019 champions have misplaced three of their opening 4 matches to take a seat joint-bottom of the 10-team desk on two factors, with solely the highest 4 sides progressing past the group stage.
England have been thrashed by New Zealand of their group opener, the identical two sides who featured within the ultimate 4 years earlier, earlier than following a lone victory over Bangladesh by following to a shock 69-run defeat in opposition to Afghanistan.
An embarrassing 229-run defeat in opposition to South Africa was England’s report ODI defeat by runs and leaves them on the verge of a group-stage exit, however there are nonetheless sufficient matches for Jos Buttler’s aspect to make a late bid for the final 4.
What do England must do?
The round-robin format provides England 5 extra fixtures to build up factors and transfer up the desk, with victories within the lot the best way that might give them the very best likelihood of reaching the knockout stage.
5 wins would take England to 12 factors, which can nonetheless not be sufficient depending on different groups carry out over the following couple of weeks, though there are mathematical – if extremely uncertain – situations nonetheless the place they may lose as soon as extra and nonetheless nearly make it by means of.
There’s a excessive chance that web run fee might decide the ultimate qualification spots, which is calculated by utilizing the common runs per over scored by a workforce after which subtracting the common runs per over scored in opposition to them.
That metric is used when groups stay degree on factors on the finish of the group stage, with the workforce holding the very best web run fee in that state of affairs then qualifying.
England’s is in want of enchancment because it at present sits at -1.247 after 4 matches and is worse than any of the opposite sides nonetheless on two factors, though greater than half of the groups maintain a destructive run fee and one massive victory might considerably change that quantity.
Who’ve England nonetheless bought to play?
England face Sri Lanka on Thursday, one other of the groups languishing on two factors, the place a victory might transfer them as excessive as sixth relying on different outcomes over the approaching days.
A 3rd successive defeat would seemingly finish any slim qualification hopes, given it will imply they will solely earn a most of 10 factors from the group stage, whereas Sunday’s conflict in opposition to table-toppers and unbeaten hosts India is prone to provide and even more durable robust check.
India could have misplaced high spot by the point that sport takes place, with New Zealand – two factors behind and holding a greater run-rate – dealing with Australia the day gone by, though a sixth consecutive win would all-but assure their passage into the semi-finals.
Ought to England nonetheless be within the race to qualify after these two matches, then their fixture on November 4 in opposition to Australia – on 4 factors after 4 video games and having progressed from the group stage in each Cricket World Cup since 1996 – is prone to be a must-win fixture.
England face the Netherlands in Pune on November 8, with Buttler’s aspect hoping to not already be eradicated once they spherical off their group marketing campaign in opposition to Pakistan on November 11.
Can England be optimistic?
England have solely misplaced 4 matches in the identical World Cup as soon as, their Tremendous 8 stage exit in 2007, though misplaced three fixtures in 5 different World Cup campaigns – together with two the place they’ve reached the ultimate.
They have been overwhelmed thrice in 1992, twice within the group stage earlier than shedding to Pakistan within the ultimate, whereas Eoin Morgan’s 2019 aspect suffered three matches forward of them turning into world champions on residence soil.
England have been overwhelmed by Pakistan, Sri Lanka and Australia on their strategy to ending third within the group stage, with New Zealand taking the final spot after additionally shedding three round-robin matches, earlier than each groups gained their semi-finals to progress to the ultimate at Lord’s.
England’s last-gasp victory within the iconic Tremendous Over that yr will dwell lengthy within the reminiscence, though it’s going to take one thing equally as dramatic over the approaching weeks if there may be going to be any likelihood of a title defence.
When can I watch England?
England subsequent face Sri Lanka in a must-win match for either side on Thursday in Bangalore, with protection dwell on Sky Sports activities Cricket from 9am (first ball at 9.30am). Watch each sport of the 2023 ICC Males’s Cricket World Cup dwell on Sky Sports activities. You can stream the tournament on NOW.