ISW reminds that, according to military analysts, military intervention Russia in Crimea and Donbas in 2014 violated numerous international obligations of Russiaregarding respect for sovereignty and territorial integrity Ukrainyincluding Russia's recognition of Ukraine as an independent state in 1991 and the Budapest Memorandum of 1994, in which Russia has clearly undertaken not to violate sovereignty and territorial integrity of Ukraine.
Ukraine and Russia. Experts point out why Putin needs a ceasefire
The American think tank emphasizes that therefore there is no basis to believe that The Kremlin will respect the new agreement obliging Russia not to violate the sovereignty and territorial integrity of Ukraine. He emphasizes that there is a ceasefire would enable Russia to rebuild its degraded forces and further mobilization of its defense and industrial base without constraints related to urgent operational needs in Ukraine.
According to ISW, Russia could use the ceasefire to prepare forces better adapted to carry out another series of offensive operations aimed at demilitarization and conquest of Ukraine. The Kremlin can reasonably expect that a frozen front will make Western support for Ukraine less urgent and important, which could enable Russia to overtake Ukraine in preparations for further military operations.
War in Ukraine. Putin ready for a ceasefire? There is a voice from Kiev
On Friday, Reuters, citing four Russian sources close to the Kremlin, reported that Vladimir Putin is ready to stop the fighting in Ukraine through a negotiated ceasefire that will take into account the Ukrainian territories currently occupied by Russia.
Three informants close to Putin said that the Russian leader expressed frustration with the negotiations with Kiev, which are allegedly hindered by Western countries. What's more, it has to be him dissatisfiedthat the president of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky excludes him from the peace talks, which are to be held at the summit in mid-June Switzerland.
The head of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine commented on Reuters' reports on Friday Dmytro Kułeba. In his opinion, these are false signals intended to disrupt the upcoming peace summit. – Putin is desperately trying to derail the peace summit in Switzerland on June 15-16. He is afraid of his success, says the diplomat.
Kuleba also emphasized that Vladimir Putin's entourage “is sending false signals about the alleged readiness for a ceasefire, even though Russian troops continue to brutally attack Ukraine and their missiles and drones are falling on Ukrainian cities and communities.”
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